Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces persistent challenges entering the final weeks before Israel's October 27 election, with recent polls placing its projected vote share at 1.0–1.3 percent. Defections of lawmakers to Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together slate have eroded its base, while undecided voters and competition from other centrist and opposition lists fragment support further. Gantz submitted a revised 19-candidate slate on September 8 despite months of sub-threshold results, a move that has not reversed the trend in surveys conducted September 7–8. The 3.25 percent electoral threshold creates a narrow band of outcomes, and the current distribution of trader probabilities reflects uncertainty over whether late campaign shifts or turnout among core supporters can push the party into or above that range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено2-3.25% 43%
1.25-2% 37%
3.25%+ 37%
0.75-1.25% 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
34%
0.75-1.25%
36%
1.25-2%
37%
2-3.25%
43%
3.25%+
37%
2-3.25% 43%
1.25-2% 37%
3.25%+ 37%
0.75-1.25% 36%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<0.75%
$0 Обс.
34%
0.75-1.25%
$0 Обс.
36%
1.25-2%
$0 Обс.
37%
2-3.25%
$0 Обс.
43%
3.25%+
$0 Обс.
37%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces persistent challenges entering the final weeks before Israel's October 27 election, with recent polls placing its projected vote share at 1.0–1.3 percent. Defections of lawmakers to Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together slate have eroded its base, while undecided voters and competition from other centrist and opposition lists fragment support further. Gantz submitted a revised 19-candidate slate on September 8 despite months of sub-threshold results, a move that has not reversed the trend in surveys conducted September 7–8. The 3.25 percent electoral threshold creates a narrow band of outcomes, and the current distribution of trader probabilities reflects uncertainty over whether late campaign shifts or turnout among core supporters can push the party into or above that range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces persistent challenges entering the final weeks before Israel's October 27 election, with recent polls placing its projected vote share at 1.0–1.3 percent. Defections of lawmakers to Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together slate have eroded its base, while undecided voters and competition from other centrist and opposition lists fragment support further. Gantz submitted a revised 19-candidate slate on September 8 despite months of sub-threshold results, a move that has not reversed the trend in surveys conducted September 7–8. The 3.25 percent electoral threshold creates a narrow band of outcomes, and the current distribution of trader probabilities reflects uncertainty over whether late campaign shifts or turnout among core supporters can push the party into or above that range.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Blue and White party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Blue and White's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Blue and White passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Blue and White contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Blue and White merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:26 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Blue and White, led by Benny Gantz, faces persistent challenges entering the final weeks before Israel's October 27 election, with recent polls placing its projected vote share at 1.0–1.3 percent. Defections of lawmakers to Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party and Naftali Bennett’s Together slate have eroded its base, while undecided voters and competition from other centrist and opposition lists fragment support further. Gantz submitted a revised 19-candidate slate on September 8 despite months of sub-threshold results, a move that has not reversed the trend in surveys conducted September 7–8. The 3.25 percent electoral threshold creates a narrow band of outcomes, and the current distribution of trader probabilities reflects uncertainty over whether late campaign shifts or turnout among core supporters can push the party into or above that range.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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