Recent polls from early September place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, ahead of Likud, after the submission of its final candidate list featuring senior security figures. This positioning reflects ongoing voter shifts within the Zionist opposition bloc amid competition from Naftali Bennett’s Together party and smaller lists that may or may not clear the electoral threshold. The October 27 election date, combined with undecided voters and coalition arithmetic that hinges on threshold outcomes and potential alliances, keeps projected vote shares clustered around 19–21 percent. Late polling movements, turnout differentials, or last-minute developments on security and economic issues could widen or narrow the distribution across the current market bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIsrael Election: Yashar vote share?
Israel Election: Yashar vote share?
18-20% 41%
22-24% 40%
20-22% 38%
<16% 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
37%
16-18%
26%
18-20%
41%
20-22%
38%
22-24%
40%
24%+
34%
18-20% 41%
22-24% 40%
20-22% 38%
<16% 37%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<16%
$0 Обс.
37%
16-18%
$0 Обс.
26%
18-20%
$0 Обс.
41%
20-22%
$0 Обс.
38%
22-24%
$0 Обс.
40%
24%+
$0 Обс.
34%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls from early September place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, ahead of Likud, after the submission of its final candidate list featuring senior security figures. This positioning reflects ongoing voter shifts within the Zionist opposition bloc amid competition from Naftali Bennett’s Together party and smaller lists that may or may not clear the electoral threshold. The October 27 election date, combined with undecided voters and coalition arithmetic that hinges on threshold outcomes and potential alliances, keeps projected vote shares clustered around 19–21 percent. Late polling movements, turnout differentials, or last-minute developments on security and economic issues could widen or narrow the distribution across the current market bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent polls from early September place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, ahead of Likud, after the submission of its final candidate list featuring senior security figures. This positioning reflects ongoing voter shifts within the Zionist opposition bloc amid competition from Naftali Bennett’s Together party and smaller lists that may or may not clear the electoral threshold. The October 27 election date, combined with undecided voters and coalition arithmetic that hinges on threshold outcomes and potential alliances, keeps projected vote shares clustered around 19–21 percent. Late polling movements, turnout differentials, or last-minute developments on security and economic issues could widen or narrow the distribution across the current market bins.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by Yashar party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by Yashar's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether Yashar passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If Yashar contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If Yashar merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Nov 30, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 4:16 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent polls from early September place Gadi Eisenkot’s Yashar party at 23–25 Knesset seats, ahead of Likud, after the submission of its final candidate list featuring senior security figures. This positioning reflects ongoing voter shifts within the Zionist opposition bloc amid competition from Naftali Bennett’s Together party and smaller lists that may or may not clear the electoral threshold. The October 27 election date, combined with undecided voters and coalition arithmetic that hinges on threshold outcomes and potential alliances, keeps projected vote shares clustered around 19–21 percent. Late polling movements, turnout differentials, or last-minute developments on security and economic issues could widen or narrow the distribution across the current market bins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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