Recent reunification of the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) without Ra’am, formalized in late August and with candidate lists submitted September 8 ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, has produced mixed polling signals on Arab voter consolidation. Recent surveys project the alliance near or modestly above the historical 5-7% range in some cases, yet fragmentation risks, turnout variations among Arab citizens, and competition from Ra’am keep outcomes uncertain. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus between a 7.5%+ share and sub-4.5%, with modest separation possible from late shifts in Arab turnout or cross-bloc alliances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено7.5%+ 43%
<4.5% 38%
5.5-6.5% 30%
6.5-7.5% 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
38%
4.5-5.5%
28%
5.5-6.5%
30%
6.5-7.5%
30%
7.5%+
43%
7.5%+ 43%
<4.5% 38%
5.5-6.5% 30%
6.5-7.5% 30%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 30, 2026
<4.5%
$0 Обс.
38%
4.5-5.5%
$0 Обс.
28%
5.5-6.5%
$0 Обс.
30%
6.5-7.5%
$0 Обс.
30%
7.5%+
$0 Обс.
43%
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent reunification of the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) without Ra’am, formalized in late August and with candidate lists submitted September 8 ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, has produced mixed polling signals on Arab voter consolidation. Recent surveys project the alliance near or modestly above the historical 5-7% range in some cases, yet fragmentation risks, turnout variations among Arab citizens, and competition from Ra’am keep outcomes uncertain. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus between a 7.5%+ share and sub-4.5%, with modest separation possible from late shifts in Arab turnout or cross-bloc alliances.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Ринок відкрито: Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ET
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).Recent reunification of the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) without Ra’am, formalized in late August and with candidate lists submitted September 8 ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, has produced mixed polling signals on Arab voter consolidation. Recent surveys project the alliance near or modestly above the historical 5-7% range in some cases, yet fragmentation risks, turnout variations among Arab citizens, and competition from Ra’am keep outcomes uncertain. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus between a 7.5%+ share and sub-4.5%, with modest separation possible from late shifts in Arab turnout or cross-bloc alliances.
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
This market will resolve according to the percentage of the national vote won by The Joint List party list in the Israeli Knesset elections.
The percentage will be measured as the number of valid votes received by The Joint List's party list divided by the total number of valid votes cast in the election. Votes will be counted regardless of whether The Joint List passes the electoral threshold and wins seats in the Knesset.
If The Joint List contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all votes won by the joint candidate list will be counted. If The Joint List merges with another party prior to the election, all votes won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
If the reported value falls exactly on a bracket boundary, this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
This market will resolve based on the election results, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results published by the Central Elections Committee of Israel (https://www.bechirot.gov.il/).
Обсяг
$0Дата завершення
Oct 27, 2026Ринок відкрито
Sep 8, 2026, 2:38 PM ETДжерело вирішення
https://www.bechirot.gov.il/Вирішувач
0x69c47De9D...Recent reunification of the Joint List (Hadash-Ta’al-Balad) without Ra’am, formalized in late August and with candidate lists submitted September 8 ahead of the October 27 Knesset vote, has produced mixed polling signals on Arab voter consolidation. Recent surveys project the alliance near or modestly above the historical 5-7% range in some cases, yet fragmentation risks, turnout variations among Arab citizens, and competition from Ra’am keep outcomes uncertain. These dynamics sustain tight trader consensus between a 7.5%+ share and sub-4.5%, with modest separation possible from late shifts in Arab turnout or cross-bloc alliances.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання