The 2026 contest for Iowa's 1st Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan in a rematch of their 2024 race, which Miller-Meeks won by just 0.2 percentage points. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries by wide margins, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. The district, encompassing areas around Iowa City and Davenport, carries a narrow Republican lean but has shown Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party has historically gained ground, combined with recent polling showing Bohannan ahead, have shaped trader assessments. An independent candidate is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor. These elements underpin the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIA-01 House Election Winner
IA-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
72%
Republican Party
28%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,597 Обс.
72%
Republican Party
$2,390 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 contest for Iowa's 1st Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan in a rematch of their 2024 race, which Miller-Meeks won by just 0.2 percentage points. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries by wide margins, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. The district, encompassing areas around Iowa City and Davenport, carries a narrow Republican lean but has shown Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party has historically gained ground, combined with recent polling showing Bohannan ahead, have shaped trader assessments. An independent candidate is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor. These elements underpin the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ET
Обсяг
$4,987Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The 2026 contest for Iowa's 1st Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan in a rematch of their 2024 race, which Miller-Meeks won by just 0.2 percentage points. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries by wide margins, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. The district, encompassing areas around Iowa City and Davenport, carries a narrow Republican lean but has shown Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party has historically gained ground, combined with recent polling showing Bohannan ahead, have shaped trader assessments. An independent candidate is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor. These elements underpin the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic nominee.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IA-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$4,987Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 11:57 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The 2026 contest for Iowa's 1st Congressional District pits Republican incumbent Mariannette Miller-Meeks against Democratic nominee Christina Bohannan in a rematch of their 2024 race, which Miller-Meeks won by just 0.2 percentage points. Both candidates secured their nominations in the June 2 primaries by wide margins, clearing the field for a general election matchup on November 3. The district, encompassing areas around Iowa City and Davenport, carries a narrow Republican lean but has shown Democratic competitiveness in recent cycles. Midterm dynamics, where the opposition party has historically gained ground, combined with recent polling showing Bohannan ahead, have shaped trader assessments. An independent candidate is also on the ballot but is not viewed as a significant factor. These elements underpin the current implied probabilities favoring the Democratic nominee.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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