Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Fred Wellman who narrowly won his primary. The district's R+6 Cook PVI and recent redistricting that added stronger Republican areas reinforce the GOP's structural edge heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, though May polling showed Wagner leading Wellman by just three points initially on a generic ballot near even. Trader consensus on Republican and Democratic outcomes aligns with the incumbent's advantages and the district's partisan baseline, while acknowledging polling volatility and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-02 House Election Winner
MO-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
65%
Democratic Party
33%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$4,938 Обс.
65%
Democratic Party
$4,262 Обс.
33%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Fred Wellman who narrowly won his primary. The district's R+6 Cook PVI and recent redistricting that added stronger Republican areas reinforce the GOP's structural edge heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, though May polling showed Wagner leading Wellman by just three points initially on a generic ballot near even. Trader consensus on Republican and Democratic outcomes aligns with the incumbent's advantages and the district's partisan baseline, while acknowledging polling volatility and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$9,201Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Fred Wellman who narrowly won his primary. The district's R+6 Cook PVI and recent redistricting that added stronger Republican areas reinforce the GOP's structural edge heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, though May polling showed Wagner leading Wellman by just three points initially on a generic ballot near even. Trader consensus on Republican and Democratic outcomes aligns with the incumbent's advantages and the district's partisan baseline, while acknowledging polling volatility and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$9,201Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Ann Wagner secured her party's nomination with nearly 74% in the August 4 primary for Missouri's 2nd congressional district, facing Democrat Fred Wellman who narrowly won his primary. The district's R+6 Cook PVI and recent redistricting that added stronger Republican areas reinforce the GOP's structural edge heading into the November 3 general election. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Republican, though May polling showed Wagner leading Wellman by just three points initially on a generic ballot near even. Trader consensus on Republican and Democratic outcomes aligns with the incumbent's advantages and the district's partisan baseline, while acknowledging polling volatility and national midterm dynamics that could influence the final margin.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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