Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and uniform Solid Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired after the March filing deadline, opening the seat but leaving GOP nominee Chris Stigall in a dominant position following his August primary win over Nathan Willett and others, bolstered by endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead emerged from his party's primary, yet the district's rural northern Missouri base and limited recent polling sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from unusually strong Democratic turnout in Kansas City suburbs, a sharply adverse national environment for Republicans, or unforeseen candidate developments before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$42,533 Обс.
$42,533 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
6%
$42,533 Обс.
$42,533 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$27,128 Обс.
95%
Democratic Party
$15,404 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and uniform Solid Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired after the March filing deadline, opening the seat but leaving GOP nominee Chris Stigall in a dominant position following his August primary win over Nathan Willett and others, bolstered by endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead emerged from his party's primary, yet the district's rural northern Missouri base and limited recent polling sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from unusually strong Democratic turnout in Kansas City suburbs, a sharply adverse national environment for Republicans, or unforeseen candidate developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,533Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and uniform Solid Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired after the March filing deadline, opening the seat but leaving GOP nominee Chris Stigall in a dominant position following his August primary win over Nathan Willett and others, bolstered by endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead emerged from his party's primary, yet the district's rural northern Missouri base and limited recent polling sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from unusually strong Democratic turnout in Kansas City suburbs, a sharply adverse national environment for Republicans, or unforeseen candidate developments before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,533Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri's 6th congressional district maintains a consistent Republican structural advantage, reflected in its R+13 Partisan Voter Index and uniform Solid Republican ratings from forecasters ahead of the November 3 general election. Longtime incumbent Sam Graves retired after the March filing deadline, opening the seat but leaving GOP nominee Chris Stigall in a dominant position following his August primary win over Nathan Willett and others, bolstered by endorsements from Graves and Senator Eric Schmitt. Democrat Josh Smead emerged from his party's primary, yet the district's rural northern Missouri base and limited recent polling sustain trader consensus around a Republican hold. Potential shifts could arise from unusually strong Democratic turnout in Kansas City suburbs, a sharply adverse national environment for Republicans, or unforeseen candidate developments before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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