Trader consensus prices a Republican victory in Missouri's 6th congressional district at 91.5%, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean (Cook PVI R+19) and past landslide results exceeding 70% for Rep. Sam Graves, despite his March 27 retirement announcement opening the seat. A crowded six-way Republican primary—featuring radio host Chris Stigall (Graves-endorsed), Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, and others—contrasts with Democrats' three lesser-known primary contenders ahead of the August 4 primaries. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican absent polls. Late shifts could arise from a bruising GOP primary weakening the nominee, strong Democratic recruitment, or a national midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-06 House Election Winner
MO-06 House Election Winner
$27,839 Обс.
$27,839 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
92%
Democratic Party
8%
$27,839 Обс.
$27,839 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$22,284 Обс.
92%
Democratic Party
$5,555 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory in Missouri's 6th congressional district at 91.5%, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean (Cook PVI R+19) and past landslide results exceeding 70% for Rep. Sam Graves, despite his March 27 retirement announcement opening the seat. A crowded six-way Republican primary—featuring radio host Chris Stigall (Graves-endorsed), Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, and others—contrasts with Democrats' three lesser-known primary contenders ahead of the August 4 primaries. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican absent polls. Late shifts could arise from a bruising GOP primary weakening the nominee, strong Democratic recruitment, or a national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$27,839Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices a Republican victory in Missouri's 6th congressional district at 91.5%, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean (Cook PVI R+19) and past landslide results exceeding 70% for Rep. Sam Graves, despite his March 27 retirement announcement opening the seat. A crowded six-way Republican primary—featuring radio host Chris Stigall (Graves-endorsed), Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, and others—contrasts with Democrats' three lesser-known primary contenders ahead of the August 4 primaries. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican absent polls. Late shifts could arise from a bruising GOP primary weakening the nominee, strong Democratic recruitment, or a national midterm wave.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$27,839Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices a Republican victory in Missouri's 6th congressional district at 91.5%, reflecting the district's strong GOP lean (Cook PVI R+19) and past landslide results exceeding 70% for Rep. Sam Graves, despite his March 27 retirement announcement opening the seat. A crowded six-way Republican primary—featuring radio host Chris Stigall (Graves-endorsed), Kansas City Councilman Nathan Willett, and others—contrasts with Democrats' three lesser-known primary contenders ahead of the August 4 primaries. Forecasters like Cook Political Report rate it Solid Republican absent polls. Late shifts could arise from a bruising GOP primary weakening the nominee, strong Democratic recruitment, or a national midterm wave.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання