Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads a contested Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush and minor challengers in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent 75%+ Democratic general election margins since 2020 amid the urban St. Louis base. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5% due to this entrenched partisan lean and a weak Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Andrew Jones alongside low-profile entrants like Paul Berry III, with no fundraising or polling indicating GOP competitiveness. Scenarios to shift odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary, abrupt health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave flipping deep-blue seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$11,684 Обс.
$11,684 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$11,684 Обс.
$11,684 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,498 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$6,187 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads a contested Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush and minor challengers in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent 75%+ Democratic general election margins since 2020 amid the urban St. Louis base. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5% due to this entrenched partisan lean and a weak Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Andrew Jones alongside low-profile entrants like Paul Berry III, with no fundraising or polling indicating GOP competitiveness. Scenarios to shift odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary, abrupt health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave flipping deep-blue seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,684Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads a contested Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush and minor challengers in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent 75%+ Democratic general election margins since 2020 amid the urban St. Louis base. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5% due to this entrenched partisan lean and a weak Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Andrew Jones alongside low-profile entrants like Paul Berry III, with no fundraising or polling indicating GOP competitiveness. Scenarios to shift odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary, abrupt health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave flipping deep-blue seats.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,684Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Wesley Bell leads a contested Democratic primary rematch against former Rep. Cori Bush and minor challengers in Missouri's 1st Congressional District, rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting consistent 75%+ Democratic general election margins since 2020 amid the urban St. Louis base. Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 92.5% due to this entrenched partisan lean and a weak Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Andrew Jones alongside low-profile entrants like Paul Berry III, with no fundraising or polling indicating GOP competitiveness. Scenarios to shift odds include a scandal-plagued Democratic nominee post-August 4 primary, abrupt health issues, or an unprecedented national Republican midterm wave flipping deep-blue seats.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання