The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMO-01 House Election Winner
MO-01 House Election Winner
$23,821 Обс.
$23,821 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
4%
$23,821 Обс.
$23,821 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$13,672 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$10,149 Обс.
4%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,821Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MO-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,821Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The heavily Democratic composition of Missouri’s 1st congressional district, anchored in St. Louis and surrounding areas, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee in the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Wesley Bell secured the seat in 2024 with nearly 76 percent of the vote, and the district’s partisan voting index exceeds D+29. The August 4 Democratic primary between Bell and former Representative Cori Bush will determine the nominee, but either outcome preserves the party’s structural advantage against Republican candidates Paul Berry and Andrew Jones. No major shifts in voter registration, redistricting, or campaign developments have altered this positioning in recent months. A late-breaking scandal, health issue, or unforeseen map change could theoretically narrow the margin, though such events remain low-probability based on current conditions.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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