The Republican nominee holds an 81.5% implied probability in the GA-12 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index of roughly R+7. Incumbent Rick Allen, first elected in 2014, faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election following the May primaries. Historical voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the seat’s competitive profile reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. No scheduled events in the coming weeks are expected to shift the underlying fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоGA-12 House Election Winner
GA-12 House Election Winner
$28,240 Обс.
$28,240 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
82%
Democratic Party
17%
$28,240 Обс.
$28,240 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$15,285 Обс.
82%
Democratic Party
$12,955 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an 81.5% implied probability in the GA-12 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index of roughly R+7. Incumbent Rick Allen, first elected in 2014, faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election following the May primaries. Historical voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the seat’s competitive profile reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. No scheduled events in the coming weeks are expected to shift the underlying fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,240Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican nominee holds an 81.5% implied probability in the GA-12 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index of roughly R+7. Incumbent Rick Allen, first elected in 2014, faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election following the May primaries. Historical voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the seat’s competitive profile reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. No scheduled events in the coming weeks are expected to shift the underlying fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the GA-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,240Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican nominee holds an 81.5% implied probability in the GA-12 House race due to the district’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in a Cook Political Report Solid R rating and a partisan voting index of roughly R+7. Incumbent Rick Allen, first elected in 2014, faces Democrat Ceretta Smith in the November 3, 2026 general election following the May primaries. Historical voting patterns, limited crossover appeal for Democratic candidates, and the absence of major recent developments that would alter the seat’s competitive profile reinforce trader consensus around a Republican hold. No scheduled events in the coming weeks are expected to shift the underlying fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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