Trader consensus favors Democrat Sherrod Brown at 57.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, triggered by JD Vance's election as vice president and Jon Husted's appointment as interim Republican senator. Recent polling averages, including a RealClearPolitics tilt of Brown +1, reflect a closely contested battleground matchup as the May 5 primaries approach, with health insurance emerging as a top voter concern favoring Brown's record. Brown's dominant first-quarter fundraising haul significantly outpaced Husted's, bolstering Democratic resources amid heavy outside spending from groups like the Senate Leadership Fund. Midterm dynamics and Ohio's swing-state status amplify uncertainty, with national environment potentially pressuring the party holding the White House.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOhio Senate Election Winner
Ohio Senate Election Winner
$69,626 Обс.
$69,626 Обс.

Democrat
57%

Republican
41%
$69,626 Обс.
$69,626 Обс.

Democrat
57%

Republican
41%
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Ринок відкрито: Oct 13, 2025, 4:38 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus favors Democrat Sherrod Brown at 57.5% implied probability to win Ohio's 2026 U.S. Senate special election, triggered by JD Vance's election as vice president and Jon Husted's appointment as interim Republican senator. Recent polling averages, including a RealClearPolitics tilt of Brown +1, reflect a closely contested battleground matchup as the May 5 primaries approach, with health insurance emerging as a top voter concern favoring Brown's record. Brown's dominant first-quarter fundraising haul significantly outpaced Husted's, bolstering Democratic resources amid heavy outside spending from groups like the Senate Leadership Fund. Midterm dynamics and Ohio's swing-state status amplify uncertainty, with national environment potentially pressuring the party holding the White House.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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