Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations of a strong hold. The seat, long rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters, features a heavily GOP-leaning electorate even after May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Nashville. DesJarlais's consistent reelection margins, including 70 percent in 2024, and the district's structural advantages underpin the 92.5 percent Republican consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout shifts, candidate scandals, or national political realignment, none of which appear likely based on current indicators.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-04 House Election Winner
TN-04 House Election Winner
$38,027 Обс.
$38,027 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$38,027 Обс.
$38,027 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$19,445 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,581 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations of a strong hold. The seat, long rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters, features a heavily GOP-leaning electorate even after May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Nashville. DesJarlais's consistent reelection margins, including 70 percent in 2024, and the district's structural advantages underpin the 92.5 percent Republican consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout shifts, candidate scandals, or national political realignment, none of which appear likely based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$38,027Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations of a strong hold. The seat, long rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters, features a heavily GOP-leaning electorate even after May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Nashville. DesJarlais's consistent reelection margins, including 70 percent in 2024, and the district's structural advantages underpin the 92.5 percent Republican consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout shifts, candidate scandals, or national political realignment, none of which appear likely based on current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TN-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$38,027Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 4th congressional district, reinforcing trader expectations of a strong hold. The seat, long rated Solid or Safe Republican by forecasters, features a heavily GOP-leaning electorate even after May 2026 redistricting that added portions of Nashville. DesJarlais's consistent reelection margins, including 70 percent in 2024, and the district's structural advantages underpin the 92.5 percent Republican consensus. A Democratic victory would require an unprecedented swing driven by turnout shifts, candidate scandals, or national political realignment, none of which appear likely based on current indicators.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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