Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, defeating challengers in a race covering rural counties across middle and eastern Tennessee. The seat has remained in Republican hands for over a decade, with the incumbent posting a 70 percent margin in 2024 under the prior map. Recent redistricting and primary results have reinforced the district's partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safely Republican. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban pockets could still shift outcomes before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-04 House Election Winner
$38,027 Обс.
$38,027 Обс.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
$38,027 Обс.
$38,027 Обс.
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Scott DesJarlais secured his party's nomination in the August 6, 2026 primary for Tennessee's 4th Congressional District, defeating challengers in a race covering rural counties across middle and eastern Tennessee. The seat has remained in Republican hands for over a decade, with the incumbent posting a 70 percent margin in 2024 under the prior map. Recent redistricting and primary results have reinforced the district's partisan composition ahead of the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Victoria Broderick. Trader consensus reflected in current pricing aligns with historical voting patterns and nonpartisan race ratings classifying the contest as safely Republican. Late developments such as unexpected candidate withdrawals, major scandals, or unusually high Democratic turnout in suburban pockets could still shift outcomes before ballots are cast.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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