Tennessee's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in eastern Tennessee, encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding areas, where the GOP nominee has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Chuck Fleischmann faces Democratic nominee Anna Golladay in the November 2026 general election following August primaries, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Republican. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent because the district's voter composition, historical results exceeding 65 percent for the party, and lack of competitive polling or major developments sustain this consensus. A late national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTN-03 House Election Winner
$34,924 Обс.
$34,924 Обс.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
$34,924 Обс.
$34,924 Обс.
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
6%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Tennessee's 3rd congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat in eastern Tennessee, encompassing Chattanooga and surrounding areas, where the GOP nominee has consistently secured large margins in recent cycles. Incumbent Chuck Fleischmann faces Democratic nominee Anna Golladay in the November 2026 general election following August primaries, with nonpartisan ratings classifying the race as safe or solid Republican. Traders price the Republican outcome at 93.5 percent because the district's voter composition, historical results exceeding 65 percent for the party, and lack of competitive polling or major developments sustain this consensus. A late national Democratic surge, unforeseen scandal, or unusually high opposition turnout could narrow the margin, though structural factors limit realistic paths to an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено


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