Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the March 3 primary for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who prevailed 57%-43% over Allison Jaslow. Traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index—where Trump would carry by 14 points—Murphy's history of double-digit victories, including 77% in 2024, and a commanding fundraising edge with $2.65 million cash-on-hand versus Smith's $41,000 per latest FEC filings. Absent a major scandal or national Democratic wave, forecasters rate it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$16,748 Обс.
$16,748 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
14%
$16,748 Обс.
$16,748 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$12,779 Обс.
85%
Democratic Party
$3,969 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the March 3 primary for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who prevailed 57%-43% over Allison Jaslow. Traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index—where Trump would carry by 14 points—Murphy's history of double-digit victories, including 77% in 2024, and a commanding fundraising edge with $2.65 million cash-on-hand versus Smith's $41,000 per latest FEC filings. Absent a major scandal or national Democratic wave, forecasters rate it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,748Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the March 3 primary for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who prevailed 57%-43% over Allison Jaslow. Traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index—where Trump would carry by 14 points—Murphy's history of double-digit victories, including 77% in 2024, and a commanding fundraising edge with $2.65 million cash-on-hand versus Smith's $41,000 per latest FEC filings. Absent a major scandal or national Democratic wave, forecasters rate it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 ballot.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,748Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy advanced unopposed in the March 3 primary for North Carolina's 3rd Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Democratic nominee Raymond Smith Jr., who prevailed 57%-43% over Allison Jaslow. Traders price Republicans at 85% implied probability, reflecting the district's R+10 Cook Partisan Voting Index—where Trump would carry by 14 points—Murphy's history of double-digit victories, including 77% in 2024, and a commanding fundraising edge with $2.65 million cash-on-hand versus Smith's $41,000 per latest FEC filings. Absent a major scandal or national Democratic wave, forecasters rate it Solid Republican ahead of the November 3 ballot.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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