Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in recent presidential voting margins that favor Republicans by double digits even after 2025 redistricting, underpins the market’s 84.5% probability for a Republican winner. Murphy secured his party’s nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 and maintains strong fundraising, while Smith’s March primary victory occurred in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major developments since the primaries, align with trader consensus on the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-03 House Election Winner
NC-03 House Election Winner
$18,921 Обс.
$18,921 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
85%
Democratic Party
13%
$18,921 Обс.
$18,921 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$14,269 Обс.
85%
Democratic Party
$4,652 Обс.
13%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in recent presidential voting margins that favor Republicans by double digits even after 2025 redistricting, underpins the market’s 84.5% probability for a Republican winner. Murphy secured his party’s nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 and maintains strong fundraising, while Smith’s March primary victory occurred in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major developments since the primaries, align with trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,921Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in recent presidential voting margins that favor Republicans by double digits even after 2025 redistricting, underpins the market’s 84.5% probability for a Republican winner. Murphy secured his party’s nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 and maintains strong fundraising, while Smith’s March primary victory occurred in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major developments since the primaries, align with trader consensus on the outcome.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,921Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Greg Murphy faces Democrat Raymond Smith Jr. in North Carolina’s 3rd congressional district on November 3, 2026. The seat’s partisan composition, reflected in recent presidential voting margins that favor Republicans by double digits even after 2025 redistricting, underpins the market’s 84.5% probability for a Republican winner. Murphy secured his party’s nomination without primary opposition in March 2026 and maintains strong fundraising, while Smith’s March primary victory occurred in a district rated Solid Republican by nonpartisan analysts. These structural factors, combined with the absence of major developments since the primaries, align with trader consensus on the outcome.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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