Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold in North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a hyper-blue seat anchored by Durham and Chapel Hill that retained its strong partisan lean after 2025 redistricting. With Republicans unopposed in their primary—yielding a low-profile nominee—and no public polling indicating competitiveness, markets reflect the district's historical Democratic dominance and Foushee's fundraising edge. While commanding at 93%, an upset would require extraordinary developments like a major scandal, Foushee health issues, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this safe Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$12,163 Обс.
$12,163 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$12,163 Обс.
$12,163 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$7,550 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$4,613 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold in North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a hyper-blue seat anchored by Durham and Chapel Hill that retained its strong partisan lean after 2025 redistricting. With Republicans unopposed in their primary—yielding a low-profile nominee—and no public polling indicating competitiveness, markets reflect the district's historical Democratic dominance and Foushee's fundraising edge. While commanding at 93%, an upset would require extraordinary developments like a major scandal, Foushee health issues, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this safe Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,163Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold in North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a hyper-blue seat anchored by Durham and Chapel Hill that retained its strong partisan lean after 2025 redistricting. With Republicans unopposed in their primary—yielding a low-profile nominee—and no public polling indicating competitiveness, markets reflect the district's historical Democratic dominance and Foushee's fundraising edge. While commanding at 93%, an upset would require extraordinary developments like a major scandal, Foushee health issues, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this safe Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,163Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Valerie Foushee's narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam in the March 3 Democratic primary has solidified trader consensus around a Democratic hold in North Carolina's 4th Congressional District, a hyper-blue seat anchored by Durham and Chapel Hill that retained its strong partisan lean after 2025 redistricting. With Republicans unopposed in their primary—yielding a low-profile nominee—and no public polling indicating competitiveness, markets reflect the district's historical Democratic dominance and Foushee's fundraising edge. While commanding at 93%, an upset would require extraordinary developments like a major scandal, Foushee health issues, or a national Republican wave boosting turnout in this safe Democratic stronghold ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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