The district's heavily Democratic partisan composition, encompassing Durham and Orange counties with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam, with the race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a seat that has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent, a major national political realignment affecting turnout, or unexpected legal or health issues before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-04 House Election Winner
NC-04 House Election Winner
$18,297 Обс.
$18,297 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$18,297 Обс.
$18,297 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$12,656 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$5,642 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's heavily Democratic partisan composition, encompassing Durham and Orange counties with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam, with the race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a seat that has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent, a major national political realignment affecting turnout, or unexpected legal or health issues before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,297Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The district's heavily Democratic partisan composition, encompassing Durham and Orange counties with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam, with the race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a seat that has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent, a major national political realignment affecting turnout, or unexpected legal or health issues before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,297Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The district's heavily Democratic partisan composition, encompassing Durham and Orange counties with a Cook Partisan Voting Index around D+23, underpins the strong trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee. Incumbent Representative Valerie Foushee secured renomination in the March 2026 primary after a narrow victory over challenger Nida Allam, with the race rated Solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The Republican nominee faces structural barriers in a seat that has consistently delivered large margins for Democratic candidates in recent cycles. Potential shifts could arise from late developments such as a significant scandal involving the incumbent, a major national political realignment affecting turnout, or unexpected legal or health issues before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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