South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election on March 25, 2026—his stated final campaign—bolstering the GOP position amid his fundraising lead of $290,000 cash on hand versus challengers David Atchley ($51,000) and Robert Lee ($5,000) ahead of the June 9 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain trails significantly financially, reflecting the district's history of lopsided Republican margins, including Timmons' 60% win in 2024. An upset primary or national midterm wave could shift odds, but structural advantages favor the GOP hold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоSC-04 House Election Winner
SC-04 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
11%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,845 Обс.
89%
Democratic Party
$0 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election on March 25, 2026—his stated final campaign—bolstering the GOP position amid his fundraising lead of $290,000 cash on hand versus challengers David Atchley ($51,000) and Robert Lee ($5,000) ahead of the June 9 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain trails significantly financially, reflecting the district's history of lopsided Republican margins, including Timmons' 60% win in 2024. An upset primary or national midterm wave could shift odds, but structural advantages favor the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,845Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election on March 25, 2026—his stated final campaign—bolstering the GOP position amid his fundraising lead of $290,000 cash on hand versus challengers David Atchley ($51,000) and Robert Lee ($5,000) ahead of the June 9 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain trails significantly financially, reflecting the district's history of lopsided Republican margins, including Timmons' 60% win in 2024. An upset primary or national midterm wave could shift odds, but structural advantages favor the GOP hold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,845Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 4th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of R+11 and ratings as Solid Republican by Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Safe Republican by Sabato's Crystal Ball, anchors trader consensus at 88.5% for a Republican winner in the November 3 general election. Incumbent Rep. William Timmons filed for re-election on March 25, 2026—his stated final campaign—bolstering the GOP position amid his fundraising lead of $290,000 cash on hand versus challengers David Atchley ($51,000) and Robert Lee ($5,000) ahead of the June 9 Republican primary. Democratic nominee Courtney McClain trails significantly financially, reflecting the district's history of lopsided Republican margins, including Timmons' 60% win in 2024. An upset primary or national midterm wave could shift odds, but structural advantages favor the GOP hold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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