Incumbent Rep. Darin LaHood's (R) commanding position in the solidly Republican IL-16 district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid R across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Republicans at 87.5% implied probability. In the March 17 primaries, LaHood advanced unopposed, as did Democratic challenger Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive who trails dramatically in fundraising with just $65,000 cash on hand versus LaHood's $6.4 million. LaHood's prior unopposed 2024 general election win (99.9%) and family political legacy underscore the low-risk hold, though a Democratic national midterm wave or scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
88%
Democratic Party
12%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$1,838 Обс.
88%
Democratic Party
$4,670 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Darin LaHood's (R) commanding position in the solidly Republican IL-16 district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid R across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Republicans at 87.5% implied probability. In the March 17 primaries, LaHood advanced unopposed, as did Democratic challenger Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive who trails dramatically in fundraising with just $65,000 cash on hand versus LaHood's $6.4 million. LaHood's prior unopposed 2024 general election win (99.9%) and family political legacy underscore the low-risk hold, though a Democratic national midterm wave or scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$6,508Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Darin LaHood's (R) commanding position in the solidly Republican IL-16 district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid R across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Republicans at 87.5% implied probability. In the March 17 primaries, LaHood advanced unopposed, as did Democratic challenger Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive who trails dramatically in fundraising with just $65,000 cash on hand versus LaHood's $6.4 million. LaHood's prior unopposed 2024 general election win (99.9%) and family political legacy underscore the low-risk hold, though a Democratic national midterm wave or scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$6,508Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Darin LaHood's (R) commanding position in the solidly Republican IL-16 district, rated R+11 on the Cook Partisan Voting Index and Solid R across forecasters like Cook Political Report and Sabato's Crystal Ball, drives trader consensus heavily favoring Republicans at 87.5% implied probability. In the March 17 primaries, LaHood advanced unopposed, as did Democratic challenger Paul Nolley, a nonprofit executive who trails dramatically in fundraising with just $65,000 cash on hand versus LaHood's $6.4 million. LaHood's prior unopposed 2024 general election win (99.9%) and family political legacy underscore the low-risk hold, though a Democratic national midterm wave or scandal could shift dynamics ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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