The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural composition across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоIL-16 House Election Winner
IL-16 House Election Winner
$15,429 Обс.
$15,429 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
89%
Democratic Party
12%
$15,429 Обс.
$15,429 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,149 Обс.
89%
Democratic Party
$11,280 Обс.
12%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural composition across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,429Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural composition across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the IL-16 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,429Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Illinois 16th congressional district's strong Republican lean, reflected in its R+11 partisan voting index and rural composition across central and northern counties, underpins trader consensus favoring the Republican Party at 88.5 percent. Incumbent Darin LaHood secured the GOP nomination without opposition in the March 17, 2026, primary and faces Democrat Paul Nolley in the November general election. This matchup in a district LaHood has held since redistricting has produced consistent Republican margins exceeding 20 points in recent cycles. With no significant developments or challengers emerging in the past month, market pricing aligns with the structural advantages of incumbency and district composition that have historically limited Democratic competitiveness.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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