Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon retired in 2025, creating a Democratic target in a district with a Cook PVI of D+3 that Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding won the Republican nomination unopposed. Early general-election polling has shown Powell ahead, reflecting the district’s urban Omaha core and the absence of an entrenched moderate Republican incumbent. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 81% implied probability, consistent with the seat’s recent presidential voting patterns and the structural advantages for the challenging party in this competitive House contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNE-02 House Election Winner
NE-02 House Election Winner
$35,660 Обс.
$35,660 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
81%
Republican Party
16%
$35,660 Обс.
$35,660 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$31,698 Обс.
81%
Republican Party
$3,962 Обс.
16%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon retired in 2025, creating a Democratic target in a district with a Cook PVI of D+3 that Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding won the Republican nomination unopposed. Early general-election polling has shown Powell ahead, reflecting the district’s urban Omaha core and the absence of an entrenched moderate Republican incumbent. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 81% implied probability, consistent with the seat’s recent presidential voting patterns and the structural advantages for the challenging party in this competitive House contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ET
Обсяг
$35,660Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon retired in 2025, creating a Democratic target in a district with a Cook PVI of D+3 that Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding won the Republican nomination unopposed. Early general-election polling has shown Powell ahead, reflecting the district’s urban Omaha core and the absence of an entrenched moderate Republican incumbent. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 81% implied probability, consistent with the seat’s recent presidential voting patterns and the structural advantages for the challenging party in this competitive House contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NE-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,660Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:19 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Nebraska’s 2nd congressional district race features an open seat after Republican incumbent Don Bacon retired in 2025, creating a Democratic target in a district with a Cook PVI of D+3 that Kamala Harris carried by five points in 2024. Denise Powell secured the Democratic nomination in the May 2026 primary, while Brinker Harding won the Republican nomination unopposed. Early general-election polling has shown Powell ahead, reflecting the district’s urban Omaha core and the absence of an entrenched moderate Republican incumbent. Traders assign the Democratic nominee an 81% implied probability, consistent with the seat’s recent presidential voting patterns and the structural advantages for the challenging party in this competitive House contest ahead of the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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