Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоID-02 House Election Winner
ID-02 House Election Winner
$34,509 Обс.
$34,509 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
6%
$34,509 Обс.
$34,509 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Mike Simpson (R)
$14,251 Обс.
95%
Ellie Gilbreath (D)
$20,258 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,509Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,509Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Mike Simpson holds a commanding position in Idaho’s 2nd Congressional District heading into the November 3, 2026, general election. The seat’s consistent Republican lean, reflected in its R+13 partisan voting index and Simpson’s repeated victories including 61 percent in 2024, underpins trader consensus. Simpson secured the GOP nomination with 63 percent in the May primary against two challengers, while Democrat Ellie Gilbreath advanced as her party’s nominee. Simpson’s substantial fundraising edge and established support in eastern and rural areas further reinforce expectations of a Republican hold. Late developments such as a major scandal, health event affecting the incumbent, or an unforeseen national political shift could still narrow the outcome, though no such factors have emerged to date.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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