Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, while Republican Eric Conroy, backed by former President Trump, won his primary decisively. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to incorporate additional rural southwest Ohio counties, now leans slightly Republican based on 2024 presidential voting patterns. Despite this shift, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 70.5 percent probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantage, prior general election performance, and ongoing campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-01 House Election Winner
OH-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
66%
Republican Party
34%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$1,288 Обс.
66%
Republican Party
$1,735 Обс.
34%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, while Republican Eric Conroy, backed by former President Trump, won his primary decisively. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to incorporate additional rural southwest Ohio counties, now leans slightly Republican based on 2024 presidential voting patterns. Despite this shift, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 70.5 percent probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantage, prior general election performance, and ongoing campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$3,023Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, while Republican Eric Conroy, backed by former President Trump, won his primary decisively. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to incorporate additional rural southwest Ohio counties, now leans slightly Republican based on 2024 presidential voting patterns. Despite this shift, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 70.5 percent probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantage, prior general election performance, and ongoing campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,023Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman secured his party's nomination in the May 2026 primary with roughly 68 percent of the vote, while Republican Eric Conroy, backed by former President Trump, won his primary decisively. The district, redrawn in late 2025 to incorporate additional rural southwest Ohio counties, now leans slightly Republican based on 2024 presidential voting patterns. Despite this shift, trader consensus assigns the Democratic Party a 70.5 percent probability of retaining the seat, reflecting Landsman's incumbency advantage, prior general election performance, and ongoing campaign infrastructure ahead of the November 3 general election. The Republican nominee faces structural headwinds in a district that has favored Democrats in recent cycles.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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