Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Eric Conroy in the latest available polling for Ohio’s 1st congressional district, consistent with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election as Lean Democratic. Redistricting shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly toward Republicans, reflected in its R+1 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, yet Landsman’s incumbency and primary victory have sustained his edge in a contest viewed as competitive by multiple models. Traders appear to weigh these structural and survey factors when assigning the Democratic nominee the clear majority of implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-01 House Election Winner
OH-01 House Election Winner
$21,910 Обс.
$21,910 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
86%
Republican Party
15%
$21,910 Обс.
$21,910 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$14,056 Обс.
86%
Republican Party
$7,855 Обс.
15%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Eric Conroy in the latest available polling for Ohio’s 1st congressional district, consistent with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election as Lean Democratic. Redistricting shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly toward Republicans, reflected in its R+1 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, yet Landsman’s incumbency and primary victory have sustained his edge in a contest viewed as competitive by multiple models. Traders appear to weigh these structural and survey factors when assigning the Democratic nominee the clear majority of implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$21,910Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Eric Conroy in the latest available polling for Ohio’s 1st congressional district, consistent with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election as Lean Democratic. Redistricting shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly toward Republicans, reflected in its R+1 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, yet Landsman’s incumbency and primary victory have sustained his edge in a contest viewed as competitive by multiple models. Traders appear to weigh these structural and survey factors when assigning the Democratic nominee the clear majority of implied probability.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$21,910Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Greg Landsman holds a narrow lead over Republican challenger Eric Conroy in the latest available polling for Ohio’s 1st congressional district, consistent with nonpartisan forecasters rating the November 3 general election as Lean Democratic. Redistricting shifted the Cincinnati-area seat slightly toward Republicans, reflected in its R+1 partisan voting index and Donald Trump’s 2024 performance there, yet Landsman’s incumbency and primary victory have sustained his edge in a contest viewed as competitive by multiple models. Traders appear to weigh these structural and survey factors when assigning the Democratic nominee the clear majority of implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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