Incumbent Rep. Morgan McGarvey (D) advances automatically after his unopposed Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92% for Democratic Party victory in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+10 partisan index per Cook Political Report. Recent April 16 voter guides spotlight a crowded Republican primary featuring retired Daniel Cobble, entrepreneur Donald Pay, nurse Maria Rodriguez, and David Nichter, with no dominant fundraiser or poll leader emerging to challenge McGarvey's prior 30-point margins. The May 19 primaries will select the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general, but significant barriers persist absent a major scandal, health event, or national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKY-03 House Election Winner
KY-03 House Election Winner
$14,180 Обс.
$14,180 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
$14,180 Обс.
$14,180 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,206 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$2,973 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Morgan McGarvey (D) advances automatically after his unopposed Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92% for Democratic Party victory in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+10 partisan index per Cook Political Report. Recent April 16 voter guides spotlight a crowded Republican primary featuring retired Daniel Cobble, entrepreneur Donald Pay, nurse Maria Rodriguez, and David Nichter, with no dominant fundraiser or poll leader emerging to challenge McGarvey's prior 30-point margins. The May 19 primaries will select the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general, but significant barriers persist absent a major scandal, health event, or national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,180Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Morgan McGarvey (D) advances automatically after his unopposed Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92% for Democratic Party victory in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+10 partisan index per Cook Political Report. Recent April 16 voter guides spotlight a crowded Republican primary featuring retired Daniel Cobble, entrepreneur Donald Pay, nurse Maria Rodriguez, and David Nichter, with no dominant fundraiser or poll leader emerging to challenge McGarvey's prior 30-point margins. The May 19 primaries will select the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general, but significant barriers persist absent a major scandal, health event, or national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,180Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Morgan McGarvey (D) advances automatically after his unopposed Democratic primary, bolstering trader consensus at 92% for Democratic Party victory in Kentucky's 3rd Congressional District, a Solid Democratic seat with a D+10 partisan index per Cook Political Report. Recent April 16 voter guides spotlight a crowded Republican primary featuring retired Daniel Cobble, entrepreneur Donald Pay, nurse Maria Rodriguez, and David Nichter, with no dominant fundraiser or poll leader emerging to challenge McGarvey's prior 30-point margins. The May 19 primaries will select the GOP nominee ahead of the November 3 general, but significant barriers persist absent a major scandal, health event, or national Republican midterm wave shifting battleground turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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