Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids, who has held KS-03 since 2019 and won re-election by double-digit margins including 53.4% in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote. The district covers much of the Kansas City metropolitan area and is rated as solidly Democratic by forecasters. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins emerged from his primary but faces the structural disadvantages of challenging an established incumbent in a non-competitive seat. These factors, combined with limited polling volatility and historical voting patterns in the Johnson County core, underpin the market's assignment of an 88.5% implied probability to a Democratic victory in the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKS-03 House Election Winner
KS-03 House Election Winner
$20,649 Обс.
$20,649 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
89%
Republican Party
11%
$20,649 Обс.
$20,649 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,045 Обс.
89%
Republican Party
$14,604 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids, who has held KS-03 since 2019 and won re-election by double-digit margins including 53.4% in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote. The district covers much of the Kansas City metropolitan area and is rated as solidly Democratic by forecasters. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins emerged from his primary but faces the structural disadvantages of challenging an established incumbent in a non-competitive seat. These factors, combined with limited polling volatility and historical voting patterns in the Johnson County core, underpin the market's assignment of an 88.5% implied probability to a Democratic victory in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$20,649Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids, who has held KS-03 since 2019 and won re-election by double-digit margins including 53.4% in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote. The district covers much of the Kansas City metropolitan area and is rated as solidly Democratic by forecasters. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins emerged from his primary but faces the structural disadvantages of challenging an established incumbent in a non-competitive seat. These factors, combined with limited polling volatility and historical voting patterns in the Johnson County core, underpin the market's assignment of an 88.5% implied probability to a Democratic victory in the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KS-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,649Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sharice Davids, who has held KS-03 since 2019 and won re-election by double-digit margins including 53.4% in 2024, secured her party's nomination in the August 4, 2026 primary with roughly 83% of the vote. The district covers much of the Kansas City metropolitan area and is rated as solidly Democratic by forecasters. Republican nominee Eric Jenkins emerged from his primary but faces the structural disadvantages of challenging an established incumbent in a non-competitive seat. These factors, combined with limited polling volatility and historical voting patterns in the Johnson County core, underpin the market's assignment of an 88.5% implied probability to a Democratic victory in the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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