Incumbent Republican John McGuire seeks reelection in Virginia's 5th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 that Donald Trump carried by 12 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's rural Southside base and the incumbent's 2024 general-election margin. McGuire faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero, while Democrats including Tom Perriello contest their August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and stable nonpartisan ratings underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$55,468 Обс.
$55,468 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
26%
$55,468 Обс.
$55,468 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,615 Обс.
72%
Democratic Party
$28,853 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire seeks reelection in Virginia's 5th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 that Donald Trump carried by 12 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's rural Southside base and the incumbent's 2024 general-election margin. McGuire faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero, while Democrats including Tom Perriello contest their August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and stable nonpartisan ratings underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$55,468Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican John McGuire seeks reelection in Virginia's 5th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 that Donald Trump carried by 12 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's rural Southside base and the incumbent's 2024 general-election margin. McGuire faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero, while Democrats including Tom Perriello contest their August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and stable nonpartisan ratings underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$55,468Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican John McGuire seeks reelection in Virginia's 5th Congressional District, a seat with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+6 that Donald Trump carried by 12 points in 2024. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican, reflecting the district's rural Southside base and the incumbent's 2024 general-election margin. McGuire faces a primary challenge from Melanie Lucero, while Democrats including Tom Perriello contest their August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. These structural factors and stable nonpartisan ratings underpin trader consensus on the Republican outcome, with limited recent developments altering the competitive landscape.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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