The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voter index, Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024, and the reelection of incumbent John McGuire with 57% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primaries feature McGuire facing Melanie Lucero on the GOP side and Tom Perriello among Democratic contenders, yet the district's rural Southside Virginia composition and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles sustain trader consensus on the outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-05 House Election Winner
VA-05 House Election Winner
$55,555 Обс.
$55,555 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
74%
Democratic Party
28%
$55,555 Обс.
$55,555 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$26,662 Обс.
74%
Democratic Party
$28,893 Обс.
28%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voter index, Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024, and the reelection of incumbent John McGuire with 57% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primaries feature McGuire facing Melanie Lucero on the GOP side and Tom Perriello among Democratic contenders, yet the district's rural Southside Virginia composition and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles sustain trader consensus on the outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$55,555Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voter index, Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024, and the reelection of incumbent John McGuire with 57% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primaries feature McGuire facing Melanie Lucero on the GOP side and Tom Perriello among Democratic contenders, yet the district's rural Southside Virginia composition and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles sustain trader consensus on the outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning in the past month.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$55,555Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican Party holds a clear edge in Virginia's 5th congressional district due to its R+6 partisan voter index, Donald Trump's 12-point margin there in 2024, and the reelection of incumbent John McGuire with 57% of the vote. Nonpartisan ratings from Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Solid or Likely Republican ahead of the November 2026 general election. The August 4 primaries feature McGuire facing Melanie Lucero on the GOP side and Tom Perriello among Democratic contenders, yet the district's rural Southside Virginia composition and consistent Republican performance in recent cycles sustain trader consensus on the outcome. No late-breaking developments have altered this positioning in the past month.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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