Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the district’s voter registration advantage and partisan composition continue to underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The Republican primary offers limited competition, and historical patterns show the seat has remained solidly Democratic even in challenging national environments. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or an exceptionally strong Republican national performance that narrows the district’s typical margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-05 House Election Winner
MD-05 House Election Winner
$15,973 Обс.
$15,973 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$15,973 Обс.
$15,973 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$8,538 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$7,436 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the district’s voter registration advantage and partisan composition continue to underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The Republican primary offers limited competition, and historical patterns show the seat has remained solidly Democratic even in challenging national environments. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or an exceptionally strong Republican national performance that narrows the district’s typical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$15,973Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the district’s voter registration advantage and partisan composition continue to underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The Republican primary offers limited competition, and historical patterns show the seat has remained solidly Democratic even in challenging national environments. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or an exceptionally strong Republican national performance that narrows the district’s typical margins.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-05 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$15,973Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 5th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+17 Cook Partisan Voting Index and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Longtime incumbent Steny Hoyer’s retirement after more than four decades created an open seat and triggered a crowded Democratic primary scheduled for June 23, yet the district’s voter registration advantage and partisan composition continue to underpin the 94% implied probability for a Democratic general election winner on November 3, 2026. The Republican primary offers limited competition, and historical patterns show the seat has remained solidly Democratic even in challenging national environments. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include a major scandal affecting the eventual Democratic nominee or an exceptionally strong Republican national performance that narrows the district’s typical margins.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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