Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 76% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by anticipation that the April 21, 2026, constitutional amendment referendum will pass, enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new congressional map favoring Democrats. The proposed redistricting transforms the current safe Republican seat held by incumbent Ben Cline into a competitive or Democratic-leaning district incorporating more urban and suburban areas. Recent surges in early voting turnout—nearing 1 million ballots—along with polls showing support for the amendment, have bolstered optimism for map approval, while a March Democratic primary poll positions former Rep. Tom Perriello as the frontrunner over challengers like Beth Macy and Del. Sam Rasoul ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. GOP odds at 18% reflect the risk of referendum failure preserving the status quo.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-06 House Election Winner
VA-06 House Election Winner
$56,397 Обс.
$56,397 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
76%
Republican Party
18%
$56,397 Обс.
$56,397 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$36,593 Обс.
76%
Republican Party
$19,804 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 76% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by anticipation that the April 21, 2026, constitutional amendment referendum will pass, enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new congressional map favoring Democrats. The proposed redistricting transforms the current safe Republican seat held by incumbent Ben Cline into a competitive or Democratic-leaning district incorporating more urban and suburban areas. Recent surges in early voting turnout—nearing 1 million ballots—along with polls showing support for the amendment, have bolstered optimism for map approval, while a March Democratic primary poll positions former Rep. Tom Perriello as the frontrunner over challengers like Beth Macy and Del. Sam Rasoul ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. GOP odds at 18% reflect the risk of referendum failure preserving the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$56,397Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 76% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by anticipation that the April 21, 2026, constitutional amendment referendum will pass, enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new congressional map favoring Democrats. The proposed redistricting transforms the current safe Republican seat held by incumbent Ben Cline into a competitive or Democratic-leaning district incorporating more urban and suburban areas. Recent surges in early voting turnout—nearing 1 million ballots—along with polls showing support for the amendment, have bolstered optimism for map approval, while a March Democratic primary poll positions former Rep. Tom Perriello as the frontrunner over challengers like Beth Macy and Del. Sam Rasoul ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. GOP odds at 18% reflect the risk of referendum failure preserving the status quo.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$56,397Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus prices Democratic Party victory at 76% in Virginia's 6th Congressional District House race, driven primarily by anticipation that the April 21, 2026, constitutional amendment referendum will pass, enabling the Democratic-controlled General Assembly to enact a new congressional map favoring Democrats. The proposed redistricting transforms the current safe Republican seat held by incumbent Ben Cline into a competitive or Democratic-leaning district incorporating more urban and suburban areas. Recent surges in early voting turnout—nearing 1 million ballots—along with polls showing support for the amendment, have bolstered optimism for map approval, while a March Democratic primary poll positions former Rep. Tom Perriello as the frontrunner over challengers like Beth Macy and Del. Sam Rasoul ahead of the August 4 primaries and November general election. GOP odds at 18% reflect the risk of referendum failure preserving the status quo.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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