Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's February announcement to seek reelection in a redrawn Virginia 1st Congressional District has left VA-07 as an open seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, with a D+2 Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for Democrats amid midterm dynamics typically unfavorable to the president's party. The district's 2024 Democratic margin of 51% reflects baseline strength in suburban Northern Virginia battlegrounds, bolstered by a fragmented Republican primary field featuring five candidates including state Sen. Tara Durant, John Gray, and Darius Mayfield. Multiple Democrats like Dan Helmer and Dorothy McAuliffe have entered, while an April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment could trigger redistricting by the GOP-led legislature, introducing uncertainty before the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоVA-07 House Election Winner
VA-07 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
85%
Republican Party
14%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$194 Обс.
85%
Republican Party
$0 Обс.
14%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's February announcement to seek reelection in a redrawn Virginia 1st Congressional District has left VA-07 as an open seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, with a D+2 Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for Democrats amid midterm dynamics typically unfavorable to the president's party. The district's 2024 Democratic margin of 51% reflects baseline strength in suburban Northern Virginia battlegrounds, bolstered by a fragmented Republican primary field featuring five candidates including state Sen. Tara Durant, John Gray, and Darius Mayfield. Multiple Democrats like Dan Helmer and Dorothy McAuliffe have entered, while an April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment could trigger redistricting by the GOP-led legislature, introducing uncertainty before the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ET
Обсяг
$194Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's February announcement to seek reelection in a redrawn Virginia 1st Congressional District has left VA-07 as an open seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, with a D+2 Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for Democrats amid midterm dynamics typically unfavorable to the president's party. The district's 2024 Democratic margin of 51% reflects baseline strength in suburban Northern Virginia battlegrounds, bolstered by a fragmented Republican primary field featuring five candidates including state Sen. Tara Durant, John Gray, and Darius Mayfield. Multiple Democrats like Dan Helmer and Dorothy McAuliffe have entered, while an April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment could trigger redistricting by the GOP-led legislature, introducing uncertainty before the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the VA-07 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$194Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:15 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Eugene Vindman's February announcement to seek reelection in a redrawn Virginia 1st Congressional District has left VA-07 as an open seat rated Lean Democratic by Cook Political Report, with a D+2 Partisan Voting Index, anchoring trader consensus at 83% for Democrats amid midterm dynamics typically unfavorable to the president's party. The district's 2024 Democratic margin of 51% reflects baseline strength in suburban Northern Virginia battlegrounds, bolstered by a fragmented Republican primary field featuring five candidates including state Sen. Tara Durant, John Gray, and Darius Mayfield. Multiple Democrats like Dan Helmer and Dorothy McAuliffe have entered, while an April 21 special election on a constitutional amendment could trigger redistricting by the GOP-led legislature, introducing uncertainty before the May 26 filing deadline and August 4 primaries.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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