The TX-37 race features Democratic nominee Greg Casar, who secured the primary with over 80% of the vote after redistricting shifted him into the seat previously held by retiring Rep. Lloyd Doggett. The district remains one of the most Democratic in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and a history of double-digit margins for Democratic candidates. Casar holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña, who emerged from a May runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited likelihood of reversal before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,058 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$1,300 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race features Democratic nominee Greg Casar, who secured the primary with over 80% of the vote after redistricting shifted him into the seat previously held by retiring Rep. Lloyd Doggett. The district remains one of the most Democratic in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and a history of double-digit margins for Democratic candidates. Casar holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña, who emerged from a May runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited likelihood of reversal before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,357Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race features Democratic nominee Greg Casar, who secured the primary with over 80% of the vote after redistricting shifted him into the seat previously held by retiring Rep. Lloyd Doggett. The district remains one of the most Democratic in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and a history of double-digit margins for Democratic candidates. Casar holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña, who emerged from a May runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited likelihood of reversal before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,357Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-37 race features Democratic nominee Greg Casar, who secured the primary with over 80% of the vote after redistricting shifted him into the seat previously held by retiring Rep. Lloyd Doggett. The district remains one of the most Democratic in the country, with a partisan voting index exceeding D+30 and a history of double-digit margins for Democratic candidates. Casar holds a substantial fundraising edge over Republican nominee Lauren Peña, who emerged from a May runoff. Trader consensus at 93.5% for the Democratic Party reflects these structural advantages and the absence of competitive polling or major recent developments that would alter the outlook. A national Republican surge, unforeseen scandal, or sharply depressed Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in similar districts suggest limited likelihood of reversal before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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