The TX-37 race features Democratic incumbent Greg Casar seeking a third term against Republican Lauren Peña in a district with a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democratic presidential and Senate candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this advantage for the seat encompassing parts of Travis County and Austin-area communities. Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Peña advanced through the Republican runoff in May. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could theoretically alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-37 House Election Winner
TX-37 House Election Winner
$42,878 Обс.
$42,878 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
2%
$42,878 Обс.
$42,878 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$26,227 Обс.
98%
Republican Party
$16,651 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race features Democratic incumbent Greg Casar seeking a third term against Republican Lauren Peña in a district with a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democratic presidential and Senate candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this advantage for the seat encompassing parts of Travis County and Austin-area communities. Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Peña advanced through the Republican runoff in May. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could theoretically alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$42,878Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The TX-37 race features Democratic incumbent Greg Casar seeking a third term against Republican Lauren Peña in a district with a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democratic presidential and Senate candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this advantage for the seat encompassing parts of Travis County and Austin-area communities. Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Peña advanced through the Republican runoff in May. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could theoretically alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$42,878Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...The TX-37 race features Democratic incumbent Greg Casar seeking a third term against Republican Lauren Peña in a district with a strong Democratic lean, reflected in the Cook Partisan Voter Index and consistent results favoring Democratic presidential and Senate candidates by wide margins in recent cycles. Mid-decade redistricting preserved this advantage for the seat encompassing parts of Travis County and Austin-area communities. Casar secured the Democratic nomination with over 80 percent in the March primary, while Peña advanced through the Republican runoff in May. Forecasters across outlets rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic based on these structural factors and historical turnout patterns. Trader consensus at these levels aligns with the district's fundamentals, though late developments such as candidate health issues or national political shifts could theoretically alter outcomes before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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