Texas's 38th congressional district, encompassing affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+21 partisan rating and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican following the open-seat contest created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning a May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as the opposing nominee. These structural factors and the district's voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$28,006 Обс.
$28,006 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$28,006 Обс.
$28,006 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$17,956 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$10,050 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, encompassing affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+21 partisan rating and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican following the open-seat contest created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning a May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as the opposing nominee. These structural factors and the district's voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,006Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th congressional district, encompassing affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+21 partisan rating and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican following the open-seat contest created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning a May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as the opposing nominee. These structural factors and the district's voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,006Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th congressional district, encompassing affluent west Houston suburbs and northwest Harris County areas, maintains a strong Republican lean reflected in its R+21 partisan rating and consistent double-digit margins for GOP candidates in recent cycles. All major forecasters classify the race as Solid or Safe Republican following the open-seat contest created by incumbent Wesley Hunt's Senate bid. Jon Bonck secured the GOP nomination after winning a May 2026 primary runoff, while Democrat Melissa McDonough advanced as the opposing nominee. These structural factors and the district's voting history underpin the current trader consensus favoring the Republican outcome. Late-cycle national shifts or unforeseen candidate developments remain the primary variables that could narrow the margin before the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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