Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Republican stronghold with a Cook PVI of R+10, reflecting its 60.5% support for Trump in 2024. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican Party stems from the March 3 primaries, where Democrat Melissa McDonough—previously defeated 63%-37% by Hunt—secured nomination amid low fundraising ($48,000 raised), while Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47.7%) leads GOP runoff favorite Shelly deZevallos ahead of the May 26 contest. Bonck's $1.47 million haul dwarfs rivals, reinforcing expectations of a GOP hold in this Houston suburbs district despite no general election polls. The May runoff outcome could further solidify positioning before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-38 House Election Winner
TX-38 House Election Winner
$12,251 Обс.
$12,251 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
18%
$12,251 Обс.
$12,251 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,854 Обс.
83%
Democratic Party
$3,397 Обс.
18%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Republican stronghold with a Cook PVI of R+10, reflecting its 60.5% support for Trump in 2024. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican Party stems from the March 3 primaries, where Democrat Melissa McDonough—previously defeated 63%-37% by Hunt—secured nomination amid low fundraising ($48,000 raised), while Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47.7%) leads GOP runoff favorite Shelly deZevallos ahead of the May 26 contest. Bonck's $1.47 million haul dwarfs rivals, reinforcing expectations of a GOP hold in this Houston suburbs district despite no general election polls. The May runoff outcome could further solidify positioning before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$12,251Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Republican stronghold with a Cook PVI of R+10, reflecting its 60.5% support for Trump in 2024. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican Party stems from the March 3 primaries, where Democrat Melissa McDonough—previously defeated 63%-37% by Hunt—secured nomination amid low fundraising ($48,000 raised), while Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47.7%) leads GOP runoff favorite Shelly deZevallos ahead of the May 26 contest. Bonck's $1.47 million haul dwarfs rivals, reinforcing expectations of a GOP hold in this Houston suburbs district despite no general election polls. The May runoff outcome could further solidify positioning before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,251Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas's 38th Congressional District, an open seat after Republican incumbent Wesley Hunt's bid for U.S. Senate, remains a Solid Republican stronghold with a Cook PVI of R+10, reflecting its 60.5% support for Trump in 2024. Trader consensus at 81.5% for the Republican Party stems from the March 3 primaries, where Democrat Melissa McDonough—previously defeated 63%-37% by Hunt—secured nomination amid low fundraising ($48,000 raised), while Trump-endorsed mortgage banker Jon Bonck (47.7%) leads GOP runoff favorite Shelly deZevallos ahead of the May 26 contest. Bonck's $1.47 million haul dwarfs rivals, reinforcing expectations of a GOP hold in this Houston suburbs district despite no general election polls. The May runoff outcome could further solidify positioning before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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