The strong Democratic lean of California's 38th congressional district, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican, Pedro Casas, in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured nearly 60 percent in 2024. Redistricting has further aligned the seat with Democratic-leaning areas in Los Angeles County suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, this setup leaves limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts such as an unexpected primary outcome or late developments in voter turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-38 House Election Winner
CA-38 House Election Winner
$58,620 Обс.
$58,620 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
2%
$58,620 Обс.
$58,620 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$29,182 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$29,438 Обс.
2%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 38th congressional district, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican, Pedro Casas, in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured nearly 60 percent in 2024. Redistricting has further aligned the seat with Democratic-leaning areas in Los Angeles County suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, this setup leaves limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts such as an unexpected primary outcome or late developments in voter turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$58,620Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The strong Democratic lean of California's 38th congressional district, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican, Pedro Casas, in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured nearly 60 percent in 2024. Redistricting has further aligned the seat with Democratic-leaning areas in Los Angeles County suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, this setup leaves limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts such as an unexpected primary outcome or late developments in voter turnout.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-38 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$58,620Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The strong Democratic lean of California's 38th congressional district, reflected in the Cook Political Report's Solid D rating and a partisan voting index favoring Democrats, underpins trader consensus around a Democratic victory in the 2026 House race. Multiple Democratic candidates, including Hilda Solis, Monica Sanchez, and Erik Lutz, are competing in the June 2 top-two primary alongside a single Republican, Pedro Casas, in a district where the prior Democratic incumbent secured nearly 60 percent in 2024. Redistricting has further aligned the seat with Democratic-leaning areas in Los Angeles County suburbs. With the general election set for November 3, this setup leaves limited room for Republican gains absent major shifts such as an unexpected primary outcome or late developments in voter turnout.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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