Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and challenger Samantha Mota advanced from California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary in the 37th district, creating an all-Democratic November general election matchup. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+33 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid-D ratings from forecasters, combined with the primary results where Kamlager-Dove captured over 55% and no Republican reached the runoff, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. The outcome aligns with historical patterns in this Los Angeles-area seat and the mechanics of California's primary system. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal by both Democrats before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоCA-37 House Election Winner
CA-37 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
96%
Republican Party
3%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$2,044 Обс.
96%
Republican Party
$1,356 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and challenger Samantha Mota advanced from California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary in the 37th district, creating an all-Democratic November general election matchup. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+33 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid-D ratings from forecasters, combined with the primary results where Kamlager-Dove captured over 55% and no Republican reached the runoff, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. The outcome aligns with historical patterns in this Los Angeles-area seat and the mechanics of California's primary system. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal by both Democrats before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,400Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and challenger Samantha Mota advanced from California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary in the 37th district, creating an all-Democratic November general election matchup. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+33 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid-D ratings from forecasters, combined with the primary results where Kamlager-Dove captured over 55% and no Republican reached the runoff, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. The outcome aligns with historical patterns in this Los Angeles-area seat and the mechanics of California's primary system. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal by both Democrats before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the CA-37 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,400Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 12:30 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democratic Representative Sydney Kamlager-Dove and challenger Samantha Mota advanced from California's June 2, 2026 top-two primary in the 37th district, creating an all-Democratic November general election matchup. The district's strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+33 Partisan Voter Index and consistent solid-D ratings from forecasters, combined with the primary results where Kamlager-Dove captured over 55% and no Republican reached the runoff, underpin trader consensus favoring a Democratic winner. The outcome aligns with historical patterns in this Los Angeles-area seat and the mechanics of California's primary system. A Republican victory would require unprecedented events such as candidate disqualification or withdrawal by both Democrats before Election Day.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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