Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D) holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, a D+7 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Her unopposed June 2 primary path, consistent past victories (56% in 2024, 56% in 2022), and superior fundraising—$356,000 cash on hand versus Republican Ndidiamaka Okpareke's $30,000 as of late March—bolster this edge in the Albuquerque-based district. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Odds could move on a strong Republican midterm wave, Stansbury scandal, or GOP fundraising surge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNM-01 House Election Winner
NM-01 House Election Winner
$19,765 Обс.
$19,765 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
7%
$19,765 Обс.
$19,765 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$9,611 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$10,154 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D) holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, a D+7 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Her unopposed June 2 primary path, consistent past victories (56% in 2024, 56% in 2022), and superior fundraising—$356,000 cash on hand versus Republican Ndidiamaka Okpareke's $30,000 as of late March—bolster this edge in the Albuquerque-based district. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Odds could move on a strong Republican midterm wave, Stansbury scandal, or GOP fundraising surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$19,765Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D) holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, a D+7 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Her unopposed June 2 primary path, consistent past victories (56% in 2024, 56% in 2022), and superior fundraising—$356,000 cash on hand versus Republican Ndidiamaka Okpareke's $30,000 as of late March—bolster this edge in the Albuquerque-based district. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Odds could move on a strong Republican midterm wave, Stansbury scandal, or GOP fundraising surge.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NM-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,765Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Rep. Melanie Stansbury (D) holds a commanding position in New Mexico's 1st Congressional District, a D+7 partisan lean seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, reflecting trader consensus at 92% for the Democratic Party ahead of the November 3, 2026, general election. Her unopposed June 2 primary path, consistent past victories (56% in 2024, 56% in 2022), and superior fundraising—$356,000 cash on hand versus Republican Ndidiamaka Okpareke's $30,000 as of late March—bolster this edge in the Albuquerque-based district. No major developments have shifted dynamics in the past 30 days. Odds could move on a strong Republican midterm wave, Stansbury scandal, or GOP fundraising surge.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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