Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing parts of Prince George's County and surrounding Washington suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 26.5-point victory for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMD-04 House Election Winner
MD-04 House Election Winner
$47,101 Обс.
$47,101 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
98%
Republican Party
<1%
$47,101 Обс.
$47,101 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$21,397 Обс.
98%
Republican Party
$25,705 Обс.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing parts of Prince George's County and surrounding Washington suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 26.5-point victory for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$47,101Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing parts of Prince George's County and surrounding Washington suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 26.5-point victory for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter general election dynamics before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-04 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$47,101Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland's 4th congressional district, encompassing parts of Prince George's County and surrounding Washington suburbs, has consistently favored Democratic candidates by wide margins in recent cycles, including a 26.5-point victory for the party's presidential nominee in 2024. Incumbent Democrat Glenn Ivey secured renomination in the June 2026 primary with roughly 79 percent of the vote against multiple challengers, while Republican George McDermott advanced unopposed in his party's primary. Nonpartisan analysts rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical voting patterns, fundraising disparities, and the absence of competitive Republican infrastructure. Trader consensus on a Democratic victory aligns with these fundamentals, though an unforeseen national shift, candidate withdrawal, or major scandal could theoretically alter general election dynamics before November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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