Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, while the Republican nominee enters with minimal fundraising or organizational support in this portion of Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with the seat's voting history and the absence of recent developments that would alter the structural advantage. A late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic candidate or an unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability paths given current indicators.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-12 House Election Winner
MI-12 House Election Winner
$28,890 Обс.
$28,890 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
5%
$28,890 Обс.
$28,890 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$17,714 Обс.
94%
Republican Party
$11,175 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, while the Republican nominee enters with minimal fundraising or organizational support in this portion of Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with the seat's voting history and the absence of recent developments that would alter the structural advantage. A late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic candidate or an unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability paths given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$28,890Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, while the Republican nominee enters with minimal fundraising or organizational support in this portion of Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with the seat's voting history and the absence of recent developments that would alter the structural advantage. A late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic candidate or an unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability paths given current indicators.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$28,890Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 12th congressional district maintains a strong Democratic lean, reflected in its D+21 Partisan Voter Index and consistent Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic ratings from forecasters. Incumbent Rashida Tlaib faces limited primary opposition ahead of the August 4, 2026 contest, while the Republican nominee enters with minimal fundraising or organizational support in this portion of Wayne and Oakland counties. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with the seat's voting history and the absence of recent developments that would alter the structural advantage. A late primary upset producing a weaker Democratic candidate or an unexpected national Republican surge could narrow the margin, though both remain low-probability paths given current indicators.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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