Michigan's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 encompassing Oakland County suburbs, remains a reliably Democratic seat despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens vacating to pursue the open U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising through March 31 underscores Democratic strength, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss leading at $572,000 cash on hand amid a competitive primary field including Aisha Farooqi and others, while Republican contenders like Michael Steger trail far behind at $15,000. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, the district's historical margins and weak GOP infrastructure drive trader consensus to 92.5% for Democrats. Upsets could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit before the April 21 filing deadline, a fractured Democratic primary, or a national midterm wave, though such shifts appear unlikely absent scandals or surprises.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$41,238 Обс.
$41,238 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$41,238 Обс.
$41,238 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$36,710 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$4,529 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 encompassing Oakland County suburbs, remains a reliably Democratic seat despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens vacating to pursue the open U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising through March 31 underscores Democratic strength, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss leading at $572,000 cash on hand amid a competitive primary field including Aisha Farooqi and others, while Republican contenders like Michael Steger trail far behind at $15,000. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, the district's historical margins and weak GOP infrastructure drive trader consensus to 92.5% for Democrats. Upsets could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit before the April 21 filing deadline, a fractured Democratic primary, or a national midterm wave, though such shifts appear unlikely absent scandals or surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$41,238Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Michigan's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 encompassing Oakland County suburbs, remains a reliably Democratic seat despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens vacating to pursue the open U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising through March 31 underscores Democratic strength, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss leading at $572,000 cash on hand amid a competitive primary field including Aisha Farooqi and others, while Republican contenders like Michael Steger trail far behind at $15,000. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, the district's historical margins and weak GOP infrastructure drive trader consensus to 92.5% for Democrats. Upsets could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit before the April 21 filing deadline, a fractured Democratic primary, or a national midterm wave, though such shifts appear unlikely absent scandals or surprises.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$41,238Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Michigan's 11th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+9 encompassing Oakland County suburbs, remains a reliably Democratic seat despite incumbent Rep. Haley Stevens vacating to pursue the open U.S. Senate race. Recent first-quarter fundraising through March 31 underscores Democratic strength, with state Sen. Jeremy Moss leading at $572,000 cash on hand amid a competitive primary field including Aisha Farooqi and others, while Republican contenders like Michael Steger trail far behind at $15,000. Rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report and Safe Democratic by Sabato's Crystal Ball, the district's historical margins and weak GOP infrastructure drive trader consensus to 92.5% for Democrats. Upsets could stem from a high-profile Republican recruit before the April 21 filing deadline, a fractured Democratic primary, or a national midterm wave, though such shifts appear unlikely absent scandals or surprises.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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