Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race because the open seat sits in a D+9 district centered in Oakland County, where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed in recent cycles. Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote and has since benefited from strong party support, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared with Republican nominee Ethan Baker’s roughly $142,000. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Late developments such as turnout swings, national political shifts, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-11 House Election Winner
MI-11 House Election Winner
$79,162 Обс.
$79,162 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
3%
$79,162 Обс.
$79,162 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Jeremy Moss (D)
$56,609 Обс.
96%
Ethan Baker (R)
$22,552 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race because the open seat sits in a D+9 district centered in Oakland County, where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed in recent cycles. Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote and has since benefited from strong party support, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared with Republican nominee Ethan Baker’s roughly $142,000. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Late developments such as turnout swings, national political shifts, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$79,162Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race because the open seat sits in a D+9 district centered in Oakland County, where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed in recent cycles. Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote and has since benefited from strong party support, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared with Republican nominee Ethan Baker’s roughly $142,000. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Late developments such as turnout swings, national political shifts, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$79,162Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Jeremy Moss holds a commanding lead in Michigan’s 11th Congressional District race because the open seat sits in a D+9 district centered in Oakland County, where Democratic candidates have consistently prevailed in recent cycles. Moss secured the Democratic nomination in the August 4 primary with nearly 50 percent of the vote and has since benefited from strong party support, labor endorsements, and a substantial fundraising edge exceeding $1.4 million compared with Republican nominee Ethan Baker’s roughly $142,000. Baker, Troy’s mayor, advanced unopposed on the Republican side but faces structural headwinds in a seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball. Late developments such as turnout swings, national political shifts, or unforeseen candidate controversies remain the primary variables that could narrow the gap before the November 3 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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