House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 (Cook PVI D+24) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's urban Brooklyn base, his strong fundraising—including a recent $1.9 million haul—and 74% approval from district polls last fall. No Republican candidate has emerged for the June 23 primary, while Jeffries' sole challenger, Councilmember Chi Ossé, ended his bid in December 2025 after failing DSA backing and trailing badly in private surveys. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, this safe seat status quo persists ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could stem from scandals, health issues, or a GOP recruit amid national midterms dynamics, though historical precedents favor retention.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-08 House Election Winner
NY-08 House Election Winner
$18,044 Обс.
$18,044 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
7%
$18,044 Обс.
$18,044 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,509 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$7,535 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 (Cook PVI D+24) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's urban Brooklyn base, his strong fundraising—including a recent $1.9 million haul—and 74% approval from district polls last fall. No Republican candidate has emerged for the June 23 primary, while Jeffries' sole challenger, Councilmember Chi Ossé, ended his bid in December 2025 after failing DSA backing and trailing badly in private surveys. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, this safe seat status quo persists ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could stem from scandals, health issues, or a GOP recruit amid national midterms dynamics, though historical precedents favor retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$18,044Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 (Cook PVI D+24) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's urban Brooklyn base, his strong fundraising—including a recent $1.9 million haul—and 74% approval from district polls last fall. No Republican candidate has emerged for the June 23 primary, while Jeffries' sole challenger, Councilmember Chi Ossé, ended his bid in December 2025 after failing DSA backing and trailing badly in private surveys. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, this safe seat status quo persists ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could stem from scandals, health issues, or a GOP recruit amid national midterms dynamics, though historical precedents favor retention.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$18,044Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries' incumbency in the solidly Democratic NY-08 (Cook PVI D+24) anchors trader consensus at 92.5% for the Democratic Party, reflecting the district's urban Brooklyn base, his strong fundraising—including a recent $1.9 million haul—and 74% approval from district polls last fall. No Republican candidate has emerged for the June 23 primary, while Jeffries' sole challenger, Councilmember Chi Ossé, ended his bid in December 2025 after failing DSA backing and trailing badly in private surveys. Absent recent catalysts in the past 30 days, this safe seat status quo persists ahead of the November 3 general election. Upsets could stem from scandals, health issues, or a GOP recruit amid national midterms dynamics, though historical precedents favor retention.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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