Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, and an uncontested path through the June 2026 Republican primary. The Cook Political Report has long rated the seat as safely Republican, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a district that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democrat Michael DeCillis, who won his party’s primary, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising visibility and the absence of a national political wave favoring challengers. Realistic shifts in trader consensus could stem from late-campaign developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts that narrows the margin on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$26,178 Обс.
$26,178 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
93%
Michael DeCillis (D)
7%
$26,178 Обс.
$26,178 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Nicole Malliotakis (R)
$12,885 Обс.
93%
Michael DeCillis (D)
$13,293 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, and an uncontested path through the June 2026 Republican primary. The Cook Political Report has long rated the seat as safely Republican, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a district that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democrat Michael DeCillis, who won his party’s primary, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising visibility and the absence of a national political wave favoring challengers. Realistic shifts in trader consensus could stem from late-campaign developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts that narrows the margin on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$26,178Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, and an uncontested path through the June 2026 Republican primary. The Cook Political Report has long rated the seat as safely Republican, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a district that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democrat Michael DeCillis, who won his party’s primary, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising visibility and the absence of a national political wave favoring challengers. Realistic shifts in trader consensus could stem from late-campaign developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts that narrows the margin on November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$26,178Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Nicole Malliotakis holds a commanding lead in the NY-11 House race due to the district’s solidly Republican tilt, her established name recognition across Staten Island and southern Brooklyn, and an uncontested path through the June 2026 Republican primary. The Cook Political Report has long rated the seat as safely Republican, reflecting consistent voter preferences in a district that has favored GOP candidates in recent cycles. Democrat Michael DeCillis, who won his party’s primary, faces structural headwinds including limited fundraising visibility and the absence of a national political wave favoring challengers. Realistic shifts in trader consensus could stem from late-campaign developments such as a major scandal, health-related withdrawal, or unusually high Democratic turnout in Brooklyn precincts that narrows the margin on November 3.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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