The Republican hold on New York's 11th congressional district remains the dominant trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis benefits from the district's established R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island and southern Brooklyn voters, and strong prior performance that delivered her a 64 percent margin in 2024. A state court effort to redraw the lines for greater competitiveness was blocked when the U.S. Supreme Court issued a stay in March 2026, leaving the current boundaries intact through the cycle. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and limited Democratic opposition emerging, the seat's structural advantages continue to anchor the wide probability gap between the parties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNY-11 House Election Winner
NY-11 House Election Winner
$14,692 Обс.
$14,692 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
87%
Democratic Party
11%
$14,692 Обс.
$14,692 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,160 Обс.
87%
Democratic Party
$6,532 Обс.
11%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican hold on New York's 11th congressional district remains the dominant trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis benefits from the district's established R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island and southern Brooklyn voters, and strong prior performance that delivered her a 64 percent margin in 2024. A state court effort to redraw the lines for greater competitiveness was blocked when the U.S. Supreme Court issued a stay in March 2026, leaving the current boundaries intact through the cycle. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and limited Democratic opposition emerging, the seat's structural advantages continue to anchor the wide probability gap between the parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ET
Обсяг
$14,692Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Republican hold on New York's 11th congressional district remains the dominant trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis benefits from the district's established R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island and southern Brooklyn voters, and strong prior performance that delivered her a 64 percent margin in 2024. A state court effort to redraw the lines for greater competitiveness was blocked when the U.S. Supreme Court issued a stay in March 2026, leaving the current boundaries intact through the cycle. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and limited Democratic opposition emerging, the seat's structural advantages continue to anchor the wide probability gap between the parties.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NY-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$14,692Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:22 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Republican hold on New York's 11th congressional district remains the dominant trader consensus ahead of the November 2026 general election. Incumbent Nicole Malliotakis benefits from the district's established R+10 Partisan Voter Index, its concentration of Staten Island and southern Brooklyn voters, and strong prior performance that delivered her a 64 percent margin in 2024. A state court effort to redraw the lines for greater competitiveness was blocked when the U.S. Supreme Court issued a stay in March 2026, leaving the current boundaries intact through the cycle. With primaries scheduled for June 23 and limited Democratic opposition emerging, the seat's structural advantages continue to anchor the wide probability gap between the parties.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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