Incumbent Republican August Pfluger secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican TX-11 seat, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+22 partisan voter index, reinforcing trader consensus at 91% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Pfluger's $2.7 million. The district's history of lopsided outcomes—Pfluger won 100% unopposed in 2024 and 2022—drives this commanding lead, with recent events like his Air Force retirement on April 9 adding no disruption. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this oil-rich West Texas stronghold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-11 House Election Winner
TX-11 House Election Winner
$23,466 Обс.
$23,466 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
7%
$23,466 Обс.
$23,466 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$5,829 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$17,637 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican TX-11 seat, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+22 partisan voter index, reinforcing trader consensus at 91% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Pfluger's $2.7 million. The district's history of lopsided outcomes—Pfluger won 100% unopposed in 2024 and 2022—drives this commanding lead, with recent events like his Air Force retirement on April 9 adding no disruption. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this oil-rich West Texas stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$23,466Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican August Pfluger secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican TX-11 seat, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+22 partisan voter index, reinforcing trader consensus at 91% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Pfluger's $2.7 million. The district's history of lopsided outcomes—Pfluger won 100% unopposed in 2024 and 2022—drives this commanding lead, with recent events like his Air Force retirement on April 9 adding no disruption. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this oil-rich West Texas stronghold.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$23,466Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican August Pfluger secured the GOP nomination unopposed in the March 3, 2026, Texas primary for the safely Republican TX-11 seat, rated Solid R by Cook Political Report with an R+22 partisan voter index, reinforcing trader consensus at 91% for a Republican victory in the November 3 general election against Democratic nominee Claire Reynolds, who holds minimal cash on hand compared to Pfluger's $2.7 million. The district's history of lopsided outcomes—Pfluger won 100% unopposed in 2024 and 2022—drives this commanding lead, with recent events like his Air Force retirement on April 9 adding no disruption. Realistic challenges include a major scandal, health issues, or an improbable national Democratic wave boosting turnout in this oil-rich West Texas stronghold.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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