Texas' 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Democrat Claire Reynolds prevailed in her party's primary against limited competition. These factors, combined with the district's historical margins favoring Republican candidates, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93% probability for the Republican Party. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout indicators in the area further support this positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or significant changes in voter registration and early voting participation before the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-11 House Election Winner
TX-11 House Election Winner
$24,919 Обс.
$24,919 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
7%
$24,919 Обс.
$24,919 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,676 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$18,243 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Democrat Claire Reynolds prevailed in her party's primary against limited competition. These factors, combined with the district's historical margins favoring Republican candidates, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93% probability for the Republican Party. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout indicators in the area further support this positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or significant changes in voter registration and early voting participation before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ET
Обсяг
$24,919Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Texas' 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Democrat Claire Reynolds prevailed in her party's primary against limited competition. These factors, combined with the district's historical margins favoring Republican candidates, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93% probability for the Republican Party. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout indicators in the area further support this positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or significant changes in voter registration and early voting participation before the November 2026 general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$24,919Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:24 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Texas' 11th congressional district maintains a strong Republican tilt following recent redistricting and consistent voting patterns in prior cycles. Incumbent August Pfluger secured the Republican nomination without opposition, while Democrat Claire Reynolds prevailed in her party's primary against limited competition. These factors, combined with the district's historical margins favoring Republican candidates, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 93% probability for the Republican Party. Low Democratic fundraising and turnout indicators in the area further support this positioning. A realistic shift would require an unusually large national Democratic wave, a major scandal involving the incumbent, or significant changes in voter registration and early voting participation before the November 2026 general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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