Florida’s 11th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent electoral history and voter composition that favor GOP candidates. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Daniel Webster drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in late August when businessman Joe Strada secured the nomination by a narrow 393-vote margin over former state senator Carey Baker following a recount. Democrat James Pericola won his party’s primary more decisively. With the general election set for November 3 and no subsequent polling or events materially altering the district’s baseline tilt, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee the large majority of implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-11 House Election Winner
$19,505 Обс.
$19,505 Обс.
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
$19,505 Обс.
$19,505 Обс.
Republican Party
83%
Democratic Party
15%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:37 AM ET
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Вирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Florida’s 11th congressional district carries a Republican Partisan Voter Index of R+7 and receives solid or safe Republican ratings from major forecasters, reflecting its consistent electoral history and voter composition that favor GOP candidates. The open seat created by retiring incumbent Daniel Webster drew a crowded Republican primary resolved in late August when businessman Joe Strada secured the nomination by a narrow 393-vote margin over former state senator Carey Baker following a recount. Democrat James Pericola won his party’s primary more decisively. With the general election set for November 3 and no subsequent polling or events materially altering the district’s baseline tilt, trader consensus assigns the Republican nominee the large majority of implied probability.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено

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