**Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and post-2026 redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more of Pasco County and strengthened its Republican tilt, underpin the 92.5% market price for the GOP. Bilirakis advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Kimberly Overman narrowly won her primary; forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. An early internal Democratic poll from June showed tighter numbers under the prior candidate, but no recent public polling has altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, late scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high third-party support from Branden Scrivener, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-12 House Election Winner
FL-12 House Election Winner
$57,060 Обс.
$57,060 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
9%
$57,060 Обс.
$57,060 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$23,107 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$33,954 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and post-2026 redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more of Pasco County and strengthened its Republican tilt, underpin the 92.5% market price for the GOP. Bilirakis advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Kimberly Overman narrowly won her primary; forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. An early internal Democratic poll from June showed tighter numbers under the prior candidate, but no recent public polling has altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, late scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high third-party support from Branden Scrivener, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$57,060Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and post-2026 redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more of Pasco County and strengthened its Republican tilt, underpin the 92.5% market price for the GOP. Bilirakis advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Kimberly Overman narrowly won her primary; forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. An early internal Democratic poll from June showed tighter numbers under the prior candidate, but no recent public polling has altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, late scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high third-party support from Branden Scrivener, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$57,060Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...**Incumbent Republican Gus Bilirakis holds a commanding position in Florida’s 12th Congressional District heading into the November 3 general election.** The district’s R+7 Partisan Voter Index and post-2026 redistricting, which shifted boundaries to include more of Pasco County and strengthened its Republican tilt, underpin the 92.5% market price for the GOP. Bilirakis advanced unopposed after the Republican primary was canceled, while Democrat Kimberly Overman narrowly won her primary; forecasters rate the race Solid or Likely Republican. An early internal Democratic poll from June showed tighter numbers under the prior candidate, but no recent public polling has altered the outlook. Scenarios that could narrow the gap include a major national Democratic wave, late scandal or health event involving the incumbent, or unusually high third-party support from Branden Scrivener, though structural and historical factors make such shifts unlikely.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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