**Democratic nominee Marcy Kaptur holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the OH-09 seat, reflecting her long incumbency and name recognition despite a mid-decade Republican redistricting that shifted the district toward a more competitive or slight Republican tilt.** Kaptur, first elected in 1982, defeated Republican Derek Merrin by roughly 2,400 votes in 2024 and faces him again in November 2026 after winning her primary unopposed. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, with recent polling mixed on the impact of the new boundaries. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s established local base and midterm dynamics against the altered map and Merrin’s prior near-miss, producing the current implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$20,519 Обс.
$20,519 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
57%
Republican Party
47%
$20,519 Обс.
$20,519 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$440 Обс.
57%
Republican Party
$20,079 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Marcy Kaptur holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the OH-09 seat, reflecting her long incumbency and name recognition despite a mid-decade Republican redistricting that shifted the district toward a more competitive or slight Republican tilt.** Kaptur, first elected in 1982, defeated Republican Derek Merrin by roughly 2,400 votes in 2024 and faces him again in November 2026 after winning her primary unopposed. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, with recent polling mixed on the impact of the new boundaries. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s established local base and midterm dynamics against the altered map and Merrin’s prior near-miss, producing the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,519Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).**Democratic nominee Marcy Kaptur holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the OH-09 seat, reflecting her long incumbency and name recognition despite a mid-decade Republican redistricting that shifted the district toward a more competitive or slight Republican tilt.** Kaptur, first elected in 1982, defeated Republican Derek Merrin by roughly 2,400 votes in 2024 and faces him again in November 2026 after winning her primary unopposed. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, with recent polling mixed on the impact of the new boundaries. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s established local base and midterm dynamics against the altered map and Merrin’s prior near-miss, producing the current implied probabilities.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,519Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...**Democratic nominee Marcy Kaptur holds a modest edge in trader pricing for the OH-09 seat, reflecting her long incumbency and name recognition despite a mid-decade Republican redistricting that shifted the district toward a more competitive or slight Republican tilt.** Kaptur, first elected in 1982, defeated Republican Derek Merrin by roughly 2,400 votes in 2024 and faces him again in November 2026 after winning her primary unopposed. Merrin secured the GOP nomination in the May 5 primary. Nonpartisan ratings classify the race as a toss-up or lean Republican, with recent polling mixed on the impact of the new boundaries. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s established local base and midterm dynamics against the altered map and Merrin’s prior near-miss, producing the current implied probabilities.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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