Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic hold of Ohio's 9th Congressional District at 63.5%, reflecting incumbent Marcy Kaptur's commanding financial edge revealed in April 17 FEC filings—$1.5 million raised in Q1 for a record haul, ending with $3.1 million cash on hand, dwarfing Republican primary rivals like state Rep. Josh Williams ($147,621 cash) and ex-ICE official Madison Sheahan ($73,063 plus joint committee funds). Despite October 2025 redistricting shifting the district to R+5 PVI and ratings like Cook's Toss Up (Lean Republican), Kaptur's name recognition from her narrow 2024 victory sustains her as favorite ahead of the May 5 GOP primary, where five contenders vie to challenge her in November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$19,798 Обс.
$19,798 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
65%
Republican Party
32%
$19,798 Обс.
$19,798 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$139 Обс.
65%
Republican Party
$19,659 Обс.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic hold of Ohio's 9th Congressional District at 63.5%, reflecting incumbent Marcy Kaptur's commanding financial edge revealed in April 17 FEC filings—$1.5 million raised in Q1 for a record haul, ending with $3.1 million cash on hand, dwarfing Republican primary rivals like state Rep. Josh Williams ($147,621 cash) and ex-ICE official Madison Sheahan ($73,063 plus joint committee funds). Despite October 2025 redistricting shifting the district to R+5 PVI and ratings like Cook's Toss Up (Lean Republican), Kaptur's name recognition from her narrow 2024 victory sustains her as favorite ahead of the May 5 GOP primary, where five contenders vie to challenge her in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$19,798Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic hold of Ohio's 9th Congressional District at 63.5%, reflecting incumbent Marcy Kaptur's commanding financial edge revealed in April 17 FEC filings—$1.5 million raised in Q1 for a record haul, ending with $3.1 million cash on hand, dwarfing Republican primary rivals like state Rep. Josh Williams ($147,621 cash) and ex-ICE official Madison Sheahan ($73,063 plus joint committee funds). Despite October 2025 redistricting shifting the district to R+5 PVI and ratings like Cook's Toss Up (Lean Republican), Kaptur's name recognition from her narrow 2024 victory sustains her as favorite ahead of the May 5 GOP primary, where five contenders vie to challenge her in November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$19,798Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus on Polymarket prices a Democratic hold of Ohio's 9th Congressional District at 63.5%, reflecting incumbent Marcy Kaptur's commanding financial edge revealed in April 17 FEC filings—$1.5 million raised in Q1 for a record haul, ending with $3.1 million cash on hand, dwarfing Republican primary rivals like state Rep. Josh Williams ($147,621 cash) and ex-ICE official Madison Sheahan ($73,063 plus joint committee funds). Despite October 2025 redistricting shifting the district to R+5 PVI and ratings like Cook's Toss Up (Lean Republican), Kaptur's name recognition from her narrow 2024 victory sustains her as favorite ahead of the May 5 GOP primary, where five contenders vie to challenge her in November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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