Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$20,519 Обс.
$20,519 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
60%
Republican Party
47%
$20,519 Обс.
$20,519 Обс.
Nov 4, 2026
Democratic Party
$440 Обс.
60%
Republican Party
$20,079 Обс.
47%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$20,519Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$20,519Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Marcy Kaptur’s incumbency and name recognition continue to underpin Democratic Party shares near 60% in the OH-09 contest, even after mid-decade redistricting shifted the district’s partisan voting index toward Republicans. Derek Merrin’s May 2026 primary victory sets up a November 3 rematch following his narrow 2024 loss; recent polling shows the race within single digits, with one April survey placing Merrin ahead by four points. Traders appear to weigh Kaptur’s long tenure and fundraising edge against the new map and Republican efforts to nationalize the seat, leaving both parties’ contracts in the mid-40s to low-60s range ahead of the general election campaign.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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