Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th congressional district due to her long tenure, superior fundraising, and established local support in northwest Ohio. Redistricting completed in 2026 shifted the seat toward a Republican tilt, with 2024 presidential results showing a 10-point GOP advantage under the new lines, yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory and name recognition continue to anchor her position. Derek Merrin secured the Republican nomination in the May primary and received a Trump endorsement shortly afterward, positioning him as a proven challenger focused on economic and border issues. Mixed forecaster ratings ranging from lean Democratic to tilt Republican underscore the race’s competitiveness heading into the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOH-09 House Election Winner
OH-09 House Election Winner
$33,665 Обс.
$33,665 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Marcy Kaptur (D)
74%
Derek Merrin (R)
26%
$33,665 Обс.
$33,665 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Marcy Kaptur (D)
$6,989 Обс.
74%
Derek Merrin (R)
$26,676 Обс.
26%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th congressional district due to her long tenure, superior fundraising, and established local support in northwest Ohio. Redistricting completed in 2026 shifted the seat toward a Republican tilt, with 2024 presidential results showing a 10-point GOP advantage under the new lines, yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory and name recognition continue to anchor her position. Derek Merrin secured the Republican nomination in the May primary and received a Trump endorsement shortly afterward, positioning him as a proven challenger focused on economic and border issues. Mixed forecaster ratings ranging from lean Democratic to tilt Republican underscore the race’s competitiveness heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ET
Обсяг
$33,665Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th congressional district due to her long tenure, superior fundraising, and established local support in northwest Ohio. Redistricting completed in 2026 shifted the seat toward a Republican tilt, with 2024 presidential results showing a 10-point GOP advantage under the new lines, yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory and name recognition continue to anchor her position. Derek Merrin secured the Republican nomination in the May primary and received a Trump endorsement shortly afterward, positioning him as a proven challenger focused on economic and border issues. Mixed forecaster ratings ranging from lean Democratic to tilt Republican underscore the race’s competitiveness heading into the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$33,665Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 12:48 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Marcy Kaptur holds a clear edge in trader pricing for Ohio’s 9th congressional district due to her long tenure, superior fundraising, and established local support in northwest Ohio. Redistricting completed in 2026 shifted the seat toward a Republican tilt, with 2024 presidential results showing a 10-point GOP advantage under the new lines, yet Kaptur’s narrow 2024 victory and name recognition continue to anchor her position. Derek Merrin secured the Republican nomination in the May primary and received a Trump endorsement shortly afterward, positioning him as a proven challenger focused on economic and border issues. Mixed forecaster ratings ranging from lean Democratic to tilt Republican underscore the race’s competitiveness heading into the November general election.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання