Analilia Mejia's decisive 60-39 percent victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong baseline for Democratic performance in New Jersey's 11th district, a seat vacated when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. The district's underlying partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins across recent cycles and a favorable Cook Political Report rating, underpins trader consensus that the party will retain the seat in November. Mejia's primary win and fundraising advantage further reinforce positioning ahead of the general election matchup against Republican Joe Hathaway. A national Republican surge, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district limit the likelihood of an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-11 House Election Winner
NJ-11 House Election Winner
$39,507 Обс.
$39,507 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$39,507 Обс.
$39,507 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$23,573 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$15,935 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia's decisive 60-39 percent victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong baseline for Democratic performance in New Jersey's 11th district, a seat vacated when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. The district's underlying partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins across recent cycles and a favorable Cook Political Report rating, underpins trader consensus that the party will retain the seat in November. Mejia's primary win and fundraising advantage further reinforce positioning ahead of the general election matchup against Republican Joe Hathaway. A national Republican surge, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$39,507Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Analilia Mejia's decisive 60-39 percent victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong baseline for Democratic performance in New Jersey's 11th district, a seat vacated when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. The district's underlying partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins across recent cycles and a favorable Cook Political Report rating, underpins trader consensus that the party will retain the seat in November. Mejia's primary win and fundraising advantage further reinforce positioning ahead of the general election matchup against Republican Joe Hathaway. A national Republican surge, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district limit the likelihood of an upset.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$39,507Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Analilia Mejia's decisive 60-39 percent victory in the April 2026 special election established a strong baseline for Democratic performance in New Jersey's 11th district, a seat vacated when Mikie Sherrill resigned to become governor. The district's underlying partisan composition, reflected in consistent Democratic margins across recent cycles and a favorable Cook Political Report rating, underpins trader consensus that the party will retain the seat in November. Mejia's primary win and fundraising advantage further reinforce positioning ahead of the general election matchup against Republican Joe Hathaway. A national Republican surge, significant candidate-specific developments, or unusually low Democratic turnout could narrow the gap, though historical patterns in the district limit the likelihood of an upset.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання