Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voter index that he carried by 17 points in 2024. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of retaining the House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's structural lean and Finstad's primary strength against intra-party challengers ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Democrats, including Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton in their August primary, have drawn limited early support in a race rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. A March 2026 poll showed Finstad ahead 52-42, though an earlier survey found a closer contest, underscoring how national midterm dynamics and turnout could still influence the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
61%
Democratic Party
39%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$3,050 Обс.
61%
Democratic Party
$4,495 Обс.
39%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voter index that he carried by 17 points in 2024. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of retaining the House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's structural lean and Finstad's primary strength against intra-party challengers ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Democrats, including Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton in their August primary, have drawn limited early support in a race rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. A March 2026 poll showed Finstad ahead 52-42, though an earlier survey found a closer contest, underscoring how national midterm dynamics and turnout could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$7,545Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voter index that he carried by 17 points in 2024. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of retaining the House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's structural lean and Finstad's primary strength against intra-party challengers ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Democrats, including Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton in their August primary, have drawn limited early support in a race rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. A March 2026 poll showed Finstad ahead 52-42, though an earlier survey found a closer contest, underscoring how national midterm dynamics and turnout could still influence the outcome before November.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$7,545Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds an edge in Minnesota's 1st congressional district, a seat with an R+6 partisan voter index that he carried by 17 points in 2024. Traders assign the Republican Party a 60.5% implied probability of retaining the House seat in the November 2026 general election, reflecting the district's structural lean and Finstad's primary strength against intra-party challengers ahead of the August 11 Republican primary. Democrats, including Jake Johnson and Alex Eaton in their August primary, have drawn limited early support in a race rated Solid or Likely Republican by major forecasters. A March 2026 poll showed Finstad ahead 52-42, though an earlier survey found a closer contest, underscoring how national midterm dynamics and turnout could still influence the outcome before November.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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