Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear advantage in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Jake Johnson. The seat carries a Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and Finstad’s prior victories. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan fundamentals and Finstad’s incumbency. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the August 11 primaries, with no subsequent polling or developments that have materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican Party the stronger probability of holding the seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMN-01 House Election Winner
MN-01 House Election Winner
$34,714 Обс.
$34,714 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
72%
Democratic Party
29%
$34,714 Обс.
$34,714 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Republican Party
$12,594 Обс.
72%
Democratic Party
$22,121 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear advantage in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Jake Johnson. The seat carries a Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and Finstad’s prior victories. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan fundamentals and Finstad’s incumbency. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the August 11 primaries, with no subsequent polling or developments that have materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican Party the stronger probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,714Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear advantage in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Jake Johnson. The seat carries a Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and Finstad’s prior victories. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan fundamentals and Finstad’s incumbency. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the August 11 primaries, with no subsequent polling or developments that have materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican Party the stronger probability of holding the seat.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MN-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,714Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Brad Finstad holds a clear advantage in Minnesota’s 1st congressional district heading into the November 2026 general election against Democratic nominee Jake Johnson. The seat carries a Republican lean, reflected in Donald Trump’s 6.5-point margin there in 2024 and Finstad’s prior victories. Nonpartisan forecasters rate the race Likely Republican, citing the district’s partisan fundamentals and Finstad’s incumbency. Both candidates secured their nominations comfortably in the August 11 primaries, with no subsequent polling or developments that have materially altered the race’s trajectory. Trader consensus on prediction markets aligns with these structural factors, assigning the Republican Party the stronger probability of holding the seat.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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