Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by five points among likely voters, a shift that aligns with the market's slight Democratic edge. Redistricting after 2024 strengthened the seat's Republican baseline, with the area supporting Trump by 18 points that cycle, yet Pulido's high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive in its Hispanic-majority Rio Grande Valley core. De La Cruz holds an edge in fundraising and benefits from incumbency on border and agriculture issues, while forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican to Toss-up ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these cross-pressures between structural advantages and candidate-driven polling movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоTX-15 House Election Winner
TX-15 House Election Winner
$17,582 Обс.
$17,582 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
56%
Republican Party
46%
$17,582 Обс.
$17,582 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,856 Обс.
56%
Republican Party
$10,725 Обс.
46%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by five points among likely voters, a shift that aligns with the market's slight Democratic edge. Redistricting after 2024 strengthened the seat's Republican baseline, with the area supporting Trump by 18 points that cycle, yet Pulido's high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive in its Hispanic-majority Rio Grande Valley core. De La Cruz holds an edge in fundraising and benefits from incumbency on border and agriculture issues, while forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican to Toss-up ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these cross-pressures between structural advantages and candidate-driven polling movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ET
Обсяг
$17,582Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by five points among likely voters, a shift that aligns with the market's slight Democratic edge. Redistricting after 2024 strengthened the seat's Republican baseline, with the area supporting Trump by 18 points that cycle, yet Pulido's high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive in its Hispanic-majority Rio Grande Valley core. De La Cruz holds an edge in fundraising and benefits from incumbency on border and agriculture issues, while forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican to Toss-up ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these cross-pressures between structural advantages and candidate-driven polling movement.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the TX-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$17,582Дата завершення
Nov 4, 2026Ринок відкрито
Dec 16, 2025, 1:13 PM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Recent polling in Texas's 15th congressional district shows Democratic nominee Bobby Pulido leading Republican incumbent Monica De La Cruz by five points among likely voters, a shift that aligns with the market's slight Democratic edge. Redistricting after 2024 strengthened the seat's Republican baseline, with the area supporting Trump by 18 points that cycle, yet Pulido's high name recognition as a Tejano musician has kept the race competitive in its Hispanic-majority Rio Grande Valley core. De La Cruz holds an edge in fundraising and benefits from incumbency on border and agriculture issues, while forecasters rate the contest Lean Republican to Toss-up ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus reflects these cross-pressures between structural advantages and candidate-driven polling movement.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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