Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+23 partisan voting index and long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's commanding position. Following the April 3, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Lucas boasts $841,000 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing GOP primary challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario, both at zero—while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, with an independent Rebekah LaVann in the general. June 16 primaries loom, but an upset would require a major scandal, health issue for Lucas, or unprecedented national Democratic wave to shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоOK-03 House Election Winner
OK-03 House Election Winner
$75,659 Обс.
$75,659 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
93%
Democratic Party
5%
$75,659 Обс.
$75,659 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$42,086 Обс.
93%
Democratic Party
$33,572 Обс.
5%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+23 partisan voting index and long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's commanding position. Following the April 3, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Lucas boasts $841,000 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing GOP primary challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario, both at zero—while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, with an independent Rebekah LaVann in the general. June 16 primaries loom, but an upset would require a major scandal, health issue for Lucas, or unprecedented national Democratic wave to shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Обсяг
$75,659Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+23 partisan voting index and long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's commanding position. Following the April 3, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Lucas boasts $841,000 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing GOP primary challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario, both at zero—while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, with an independent Rebekah LaVann in the general. June 16 primaries loom, but an upset would require a major scandal, health issue for Lucas, or unprecedented national Democratic wave to shift odds.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OK-03 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$75,659Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Trader consensus heavily favors the Republican Party at 92.5% implied probability for Oklahoma's 3rd Congressional District House seat, driven by the district's strong R+23 partisan voting index and long-serving incumbent Frank Lucas's commanding position. Following the April 3, 2026, candidate filing deadline, Lucas boasts $841,000 cash on hand as of late March—dwarfing GOP primary challengers Wade Burleson and Michael DiMario, both at zero—while Democratic primary contenders Suzie Byrd and Jules Roberson show negligible fundraising. Race raters like Cook Political Report deem it Solid Republican, with an independent Rebekah LaVann in the general. June 16 primaries loom, but an upset would require a major scandal, health issue for Lucas, or unprecedented national Democratic wave to shift odds.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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