The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House election market due to the district's entrenched partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79% of the vote and benefits from long-term incumbency advantages in a seat that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his primary, faces limited campaign resources against these structural factors. A Republican victory would require an exceptionally favorable national environment or unforeseen late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNC-12 House Election Winner
NC-12 House Election Winner
$34,271 Обс.
$34,271 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
95%
Republican Party
6%
$34,271 Обс.
$34,271 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$16,154 Обс.
95%
Republican Party
$18,117 Обс.
6%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House election market due to the district's entrenched partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79% of the vote and benefits from long-term incumbency advantages in a seat that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his primary, faces limited campaign resources against these structural factors. A Republican victory would require an exceptionally favorable national environment or unforeseen late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$34,271Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House election market due to the district's entrenched partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79% of the vote and benefits from long-term incumbency advantages in a seat that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his primary, faces limited campaign resources against these structural factors. A Republican victory would require an exceptionally favorable national environment or unforeseen late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NC-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$34,271Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party holds a commanding 94.5% implied probability in the NC-12 House election market due to the district's entrenched partisan composition, with a Cook Partisan Voting Index of D+24 centered on Charlotte and Mecklenburg County. Incumbent Representative Alma Adams secured renomination in the March 2026 Democratic primary with nearly 79% of the vote and benefits from long-term incumbency advantages in a seat that has consistently favored Democrats by wide margins in recent cycles. Republican nominee Jack Codiga, who won his primary, faces limited campaign resources against these structural factors. A Republican victory would require an exceptionally favorable national environment or unforeseen late-cycle developments capable of overcoming the district's baseline lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання