Incumbent Republican Rep. Lisa McClain, House Republican Conference Chairwoman since late 2024, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for the Republican Party in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, an R+16 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index where she won 66.8% in 2024. Her leadership role boosts fundraising and visibility ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, unopposed Republican primary on August 4, and November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders Wyatt Clark and Ray Pooley lack prominence, while independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez pose minimal threat in this solidly Republican district with no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days to alter the safe GOP path-to-victory. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but structural advantages dominate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
90%
Democratic Party
9%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,248 Обс.
90%
Democratic Party
$0 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Lisa McClain, House Republican Conference Chairwoman since late 2024, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for the Republican Party in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, an R+16 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index where she won 66.8% in 2024. Her leadership role boosts fundraising and visibility ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, unopposed Republican primary on August 4, and November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders Wyatt Clark and Ray Pooley lack prominence, while independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez pose minimal threat in this solidly Republican district with no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days to alter the safe GOP path-to-victory. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but structural advantages dominate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$2,248Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Rep. Lisa McClain, House Republican Conference Chairwoman since late 2024, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for the Republican Party in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, an R+16 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index where she won 66.8% in 2024. Her leadership role boosts fundraising and visibility ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, unopposed Republican primary on August 4, and November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders Wyatt Clark and Ray Pooley lack prominence, while independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez pose minimal threat in this solidly Republican district with no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days to alter the safe GOP path-to-victory. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but structural advantages dominate.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$2,248Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Rep. Lisa McClain, House Republican Conference Chairwoman since late 2024, anchors trader consensus at 89.5% for the Republican Party in Michigan's 9th Congressional District, an R+16 seat per Cook Partisan Voting Index where she won 66.8% in 2024. Her leadership role boosts fundraising and visibility ahead of the April 21 filing deadline, unopposed Republican primary on August 4, and November 3 general election. Democratic primary contenders Wyatt Clark and Ray Pooley lack prominence, while independents Jasen Cartwright and Fernando Valdez pose minimal threat in this solidly Republican district with no recent polling shifts or major developments in the past 30 days to alter the safe GOP path-to-victory. Late scandals or turnout surges could narrow odds, but structural advantages dominate.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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