Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the August primaries and November general election. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, combined with McClain’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points and her role as House Republican Conference Chair, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 91% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent conservative tilt across recent presidential cycles and limited Democratic recruitment. A credible Democratic nominee emerging from the August 4 primary or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current structural factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоMI-09 House Election Winner
MI-09 House Election Winner
$11,898 Обс.
$11,898 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
91%
Democratic Party
9%
$11,898 Обс.
$11,898 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$8,928 Обс.
91%
Democratic Party
$2,970 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the August primaries and November general election. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, combined with McClain’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points and her role as House Republican Conference Chair, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 91% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent conservative tilt across recent presidential cycles and limited Democratic recruitment. A credible Democratic nominee emerging from the August 4 primary or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$11,898Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the August primaries and November general election. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, combined with McClain’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points and her role as House Republican Conference Chair, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 91% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent conservative tilt across recent presidential cycles and limited Democratic recruitment. A credible Democratic nominee emerging from the August 4 primary or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current structural factors.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MI-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$11,898Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Lisa McClain holds a commanding position in Michigan’s 9th congressional district ahead of the August primaries and November general election. The seat’s Cook Partisan Voter Index of R+16, combined with McClain’s 2024 reelection margin exceeding 30 points and her role as House Republican Conference Chair, underpins trader consensus reflected in the 91% Republican probability. Forecasters rate the race Solid or Safe Republican due to the district’s consistent conservative tilt across recent presidential cycles and limited Democratic recruitment. A credible Democratic nominee emerging from the August 4 primary or an unexpected national midterm shift could narrow the gap, though both remain low-probability developments given current structural factors.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання