The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 general election reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, with Democrats holding a substantial registration advantage and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened a crowded June 2 primary won by Adam Hamawy, but nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its voter base and lack of competitive history. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have long prevailed. Trader consensus could shift only under extraordinary circumstances, such as a significant scandal affecting the Democratic candidate or a sustained national environment strongly favoring Republicans that overcomes local fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$16,918 Обс.
$16,918 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
93%
Republican Party
8%
$16,918 Обс.
$16,918 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$11,847 Обс.
93%
Republican Party
$5,071 Обс.
8%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 general election reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, with Democrats holding a substantial registration advantage and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened a crowded June 2 primary won by Adam Hamawy, but nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its voter base and lack of competitive history. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have long prevailed. Trader consensus could shift only under extraordinary circumstances, such as a significant scandal affecting the Democratic candidate or a sustained national environment strongly favoring Republicans that overcomes local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$16,918Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 general election reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, with Democrats holding a substantial registration advantage and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened a crowded June 2 primary won by Adam Hamawy, but nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its voter base and lack of competitive history. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have long prevailed. Trader consensus could shift only under extraordinary circumstances, such as a significant scandal affecting the Democratic candidate or a sustained national environment strongly favoring Republicans that overcomes local fundamentals.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$16,918Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic nominee's commanding position in the NJ-12 general election reflects the district's entrenched partisan composition, with Democrats holding a substantial registration advantage and consistent double-digit margins in recent cycles. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement opened a crowded June 2 primary won by Adam Hamawy, but nonpartisan forecasters rate the seat Solid Democratic or Safe Democratic based on its voter base and lack of competitive history. Republican nominee Gregg Mele faces structural barriers in a district where Democrats have long prevailed. Trader consensus could shift only under extraordinary circumstances, such as a significant scandal affecting the Democratic candidate or a sustained national environment strongly favoring Republicans that overcomes local fundamentals.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
Часті запитання