New Jersey's 12th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and historical Democratic general election margins exceeding 60%, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the November 2026 winner, even after incumbent Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat. Recent developments include a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary—featuring contenders like Adam Hamawy, Sue Altman, and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson with split county party endorsements and fundraising leads—set for June 2, alongside a thin Republican field led solely by Gregg Mele. This commanding position could face challenges from a national GOP midterm wave, a disorganized Democratic nominee post-primary, candidate scandals, or shifts in suburban turnout near Princeton and Trenton.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоNJ-12 House Election Winner
NJ-12 House Election Winner
$10,574 Обс.
$10,574 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
9%
$10,574 Обс.
$10,574 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$10,501 Обс.
92%
Republican Party
$73 Обс.
9%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 12th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and historical Democratic general election margins exceeding 60%, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the November 2026 winner, even after incumbent Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat. Recent developments include a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary—featuring contenders like Adam Hamawy, Sue Altman, and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson with split county party endorsements and fundraising leads—set for June 2, alongside a thin Republican field led solely by Gregg Mele. This commanding position could face challenges from a national GOP midterm wave, a disorganized Democratic nominee post-primary, candidate scandals, or shifts in suburban turnout near Princeton and Trenton.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Обсяг
$10,574Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).New Jersey's 12th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and historical Democratic general election margins exceeding 60%, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the November 2026 winner, even after incumbent Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat. Recent developments include a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary—featuring contenders like Adam Hamawy, Sue Altman, and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson with split county party endorsements and fundraising leads—set for June 2, alongside a thin Republican field led solely by Gregg Mele. This commanding position could face challenges from a national GOP midterm wave, a disorganized Democratic nominee post-primary, candidate scandals, or shifts in suburban turnout near Princeton and Trenton.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NJ-12 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$10,574Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...New Jersey's 12th Congressional District, with a Cook Partisan Voter Index of D+13 and historical Democratic general election margins exceeding 60%, drives trader consensus heavily favoring the Democratic Party at 91.5% implied probability for the November 2026 winner, even after incumbent Rep. Bonnie Watson Coleman's retirement created an open seat. Recent developments include a crowded 13-candidate Democratic primary—featuring contenders like Adam Hamawy, Sue Altman, and Verlina Reynolds-Jackson with split county party endorsements and fundraising leads—set for June 2, alongside a thin Republican field led solely by Gregg Mele. This commanding position could face challenges from a national GOP midterm wave, a disorganized Democratic nominee post-primary, candidate scandals, or shifts in suburban turnout near Princeton and Trenton.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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