Arizona's 8th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while Democrats field two candidates in their primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's location in Phoenix suburbs, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% Republican and 20.5% Democratic probabilities. With the general election still five months away, limited early polling and fundraising data leave modest room for shifts once nominees are finalized and campaigns intensify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-08 House Election Winner
AZ-08 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
79%
Democratic Party
21%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,407 Обс.
79%
Democratic Party
$2,846 Обс.
21%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while Democrats field two candidates in their primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's location in Phoenix suburbs, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% Republican and 20.5% Democratic probabilities. With the general election still five months away, limited early polling and fundraising data leave modest room for shifts once nominees are finalized and campaigns intensify.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$5,253Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Arizona's 8th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while Democrats field two candidates in their primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's location in Phoenix suburbs, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% Republican and 20.5% Democratic probabilities. With the general election still five months away, limited early polling and fundraising data leave modest room for shifts once nominees are finalized and campaigns intensify.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,253Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Arizona's 8th congressional district carries an R+8 partisan voter index and has been rated Solid Republican by forecasters including the Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball. Incumbent Republican Abraham Hamadeh, who won the seat in 2024, faces no significant primary opposition ahead of the July 21 contest, while Democrats field two candidates in their primary. These structural factors, combined with the district's location in Phoenix suburbs, underpin the current trader consensus reflected in the 78.5% Republican and 20.5% Democratic probabilities. With the general election still five months away, limited early polling and fundraising data leave modest room for shifts once nominees are finalized and campaigns intensify.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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