The commanding Republican position in Arizona's 9th congressional district stems from its strongly conservative rural western character, reflected in consistent double-digit GOP margins and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Incumbent Paul Gosar secured reelection in 2024 with 65.3 percent amid favorable partisan voting patterns, and he advanced easily through the 2026 primary against limited opposition from Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky. Traders price in the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects, which have historically produced reliable Republican holds even in competitive national environments. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually intense Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоAZ-09 House Election Winner
AZ-09 House Election Winner
$12,919 Обс.
$12,919 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
3%
$12,919 Обс.
$12,919 Обс.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$4,151 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$8,768 Обс.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Republican position in Arizona's 9th congressional district stems from its strongly conservative rural western character, reflected in consistent double-digit GOP margins and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Incumbent Paul Gosar secured reelection in 2024 with 65.3 percent amid favorable partisan voting patterns, and he advanced easily through the 2026 primary against limited opposition from Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky. Traders price in the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects, which have historically produced reliable Republican holds even in competitive national environments. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually intense Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ET
Обсяг
$12,919Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The commanding Republican position in Arizona's 9th congressional district stems from its strongly conservative rural western character, reflected in consistent double-digit GOP margins and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Incumbent Paul Gosar secured reelection in 2024 with 65.3 percent amid favorable partisan voting patterns, and he advanced easily through the 2026 primary against limited opposition from Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky. Traders price in the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects, which have historically produced reliable Republican holds even in competitive national environments. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually intense Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-09 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$12,919Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 27, 2026, 11:54 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The commanding Republican position in Arizona's 9th congressional district stems from its strongly conservative rural western character, reflected in consistent double-digit GOP margins and a Cook Political Report Solid R rating. Incumbent Paul Gosar secured reelection in 2024 with 65.3 percent amid favorable partisan voting patterns, and he advanced easily through the 2026 primary against limited opposition from Democrat Danielle Sterbinsky. Traders price in the district's structural advantages and incumbency effects, which have historically produced reliable Republican holds even in competitive national environments. Late developments such as a major candidate scandal, health-related withdrawal, or an unusually intense Democratic turnout surge could still narrow the gap, though such shifts remain low-probability based on current evidence.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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