Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's dominant track record in Florida's 14th Congressional District, a D+5 urban Tampa Bay seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 68%. Castor secured 57% in her 2024 reelection despite Donald Trump carrying the district, leveraging strong incumbency advantages amid a fragmented Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford, Shay Williams, and others. Recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area state legislative special elections, including a narrow Senate District 14 upset on March 24, signal local momentum boosting odds. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts, with GOP unity critical to challenge the partisan lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
68%
Republican Party
29%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$5,056 Обс.
68%
Republican Party
$3,895 Обс.
29%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's dominant track record in Florida's 14th Congressional District, a D+5 urban Tampa Bay seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 68%. Castor secured 57% in her 2024 reelection despite Donald Trump carrying the district, leveraging strong incumbency advantages amid a fragmented Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford, Shay Williams, and others. Recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area state legislative special elections, including a narrow Senate District 14 upset on March 24, signal local momentum boosting odds. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts, with GOP unity critical to challenge the partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$8,951Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's dominant track record in Florida's 14th Congressional District, a D+5 urban Tampa Bay seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 68%. Castor secured 57% in her 2024 reelection despite Donald Trump carrying the district, leveraging strong incumbency advantages amid a fragmented Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford, Shay Williams, and others. Recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area state legislative special elections, including a narrow Senate District 14 upset on March 24, signal local momentum boosting odds. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts, with GOP unity critical to challenge the partisan lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$8,951Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor's dominant track record in Florida's 14th Congressional District, a D+5 urban Tampa Bay seat rated Solid Democratic by Cook Political Report, underpins trader consensus pricing Democratic Party victory at 68%. Castor secured 57% in her 2024 reelection despite Donald Trump carrying the district, leveraging strong incumbency advantages amid a fragmented Republican primary field featuring 2024 nominee Robert Rochford, Shay Williams, and others. Recent Democratic flips in Tampa-area state legislative special elections, including a narrow Senate District 14 upset on March 24, signal local momentum boosting odds. The August 18 primaries and November 3 general election remain key catalysts, with GOP unity critical to challenge the partisan lean.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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