Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with Donald Trump carrying it by 11 points in 2024, yet Castor’s long tenure and name recognition sustain a modest polling lead, including a July survey showing her ahead 46% to 38%. The Democratic primary was canceled after no serious challengers filed, while Beltran consolidated Republican support by winning the August 18 primary. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the competitive environment created by the new map, with trader consensus pricing in Castor’s structural advantages against the district’s altered partisan baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-14 House Election Winner
FL-14 House Election Winner
$35,206 Обс.
$35,206 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
61%
Republican Party
36%
$35,206 Обс.
$35,206 Обс.
Nov 2, 2026
Democratic Party
$18,316 Обс.
61%
Republican Party
$16,890 Обс.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with Donald Trump carrying it by 11 points in 2024, yet Castor’s long tenure and name recognition sustain a modest polling lead, including a July survey showing her ahead 46% to 38%. The Democratic primary was canceled after no serious challengers filed, while Beltran consolidated Republican support by winning the August 18 primary. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the competitive environment created by the new map, with trader consensus pricing in Castor’s structural advantages against the district’s altered partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$35,206Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with Donald Trump carrying it by 11 points in 2024, yet Castor’s long tenure and name recognition sustain a modest polling lead, including a July survey showing her ahead 46% to 38%. The Democratic primary was canceled after no serious challengers filed, while Beltran consolidated Republican support by winning the August 18 primary. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the competitive environment created by the new map, with trader consensus pricing in Castor’s structural advantages against the district’s altered partisan baseline.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-14 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$35,206Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETВирішувач
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Kathy Castor faces Republican nominee Mike Beltran in Florida’s 14th congressional district on November 3, 2026. Redistricting shifted the seat rightward, with Donald Trump carrying it by 11 points in 2024, yet Castor’s long tenure and name recognition sustain a modest polling lead, including a July survey showing her ahead 46% to 38%. The Democratic primary was canceled after no serious challengers filed, while Beltran consolidated Republican support by winning the August 18 primary. Varying race ratings from toss-up to lean Republican reflect the competitive environment created by the new map, with trader consensus pricing in Castor’s structural advantages against the district’s altered partisan baseline.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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