Incumbent Republican Laurel Lee holds a commanding position in Florida's 15th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 79.5% for a GOP win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 2024 victory margin of 12.4 points over Democrat Pat Kemp, combined with her unchallenged Republican primary path so far, bolsters her edge amid fragmented Democratic contenders including Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports show Lee raising $1.9 million with $1.7 million cash-on-hand—over six times McAuley's total—reinforcing her financial dominance despite DCCC targeting since December 2025. No district polling exists, but forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Safe Republican; shifts would require a standout Democratic nominee post-June 12 filing deadline or national midterm dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоFL-15 House Election Winner
FL-15 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
80%
Democratic Party
17%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,047 Обс.
80%
Democratic Party
$1,530 Обс.
17%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Laurel Lee holds a commanding position in Florida's 15th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 79.5% for a GOP win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 2024 victory margin of 12.4 points over Democrat Pat Kemp, combined with her unchallenged Republican primary path so far, bolsters her edge amid fragmented Democratic contenders including Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports show Lee raising $1.9 million with $1.7 million cash-on-hand—over six times McAuley's total—reinforcing her financial dominance despite DCCC targeting since December 2025. No district polling exists, but forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Safe Republican; shifts would require a standout Democratic nominee post-June 12 filing deadline or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ET
Обсяг
$3,578Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Incumbent Republican Laurel Lee holds a commanding position in Florida's 15th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 79.5% for a GOP win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 2024 victory margin of 12.4 points over Democrat Pat Kemp, combined with her unchallenged Republican primary path so far, bolsters her edge amid fragmented Democratic contenders including Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports show Lee raising $1.9 million with $1.7 million cash-on-hand—over six times McAuley's total—reinforcing her financial dominance despite DCCC targeting since December 2025. No district polling exists, but forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Safe Republican; shifts would require a standout Democratic nominee post-June 12 filing deadline or national midterm dynamics.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the FL-15 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$3,578Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 10:48 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Republican Laurel Lee holds a commanding position in Florida's 15th Congressional District, a Solid Republican seat per Cook Political Report with an R+5 partisan lean, driving trader consensus to 79.5% for a GOP win on November 3, 2026. Lee's 2024 victory margin of 12.4 points over Democrat Pat Kemp, combined with her unchallenged Republican primary path so far, bolsters her edge amid fragmented Democratic contenders including Darren McAuley and Kimberly Overman. Recent first-quarter 2026 fundraising reports show Lee raising $1.9 million with $1.7 million cash-on-hand—over six times McAuley's total—reinforcing her financial dominance despite DCCC targeting since December 2025. No district polling exists, but forecasters like Sabato's Crystal Ball rate it Safe Republican; shifts would require a standout Democratic nominee post-June 12 filing deadline or national midterm dynamics.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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