The solidly Republican character of Kentucky’s 2nd district, which has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century and gave the GOP nominee 73 percent in 2024, anchors trader consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured his party’s nomination with 85 percent in the May 19 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field; the Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials since the primaries have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unexpected turnout shift in suburban or rural precincts could narrow the margin, though historical base rates indicate such outcomes remain low-probability events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · ОновленоKY-02 House Election Winner
KY-02 House Election Winner
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
94%
Democratic Party
7%
НОВЕ
НОВЕ
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$2,251 Обс.
94%
Democratic Party
$3,681 Обс.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Kentucky’s 2nd district, which has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century and gave the GOP nominee 73 percent in 2024, anchors trader consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured his party’s nomination with 85 percent in the May 19 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field; the Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials since the primaries have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unexpected turnout shift in suburban or rural precincts could narrow the margin, though historical base rates indicate such outcomes remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Ринок відкрито: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Обсяг
$5,933Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The solidly Republican character of Kentucky’s 2nd district, which has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century and gave the GOP nominee 73 percent in 2024, anchors trader consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured his party’s nomination with 85 percent in the May 19 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field; the Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials since the primaries have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unexpected turnout shift in suburban or rural precincts could narrow the margin, though historical base rates indicate such outcomes remain low-probability events.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the KY-02 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Обсяг
$5,933Дата завершення
Nov 3, 2026Ринок відкрито
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The solidly Republican character of Kentucky’s 2nd district, which has not elected a Democrat since the 19th century and gave the GOP nominee 73 percent in 2024, anchors trader consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Brett Guthrie secured his party’s nomination with 85 percent in the May 19 primary, while Democrat Megan Wingfield emerged from a fragmented field; the Cook Political Report rates the seat Solid Republican. Limited campaign activity and fundraising differentials since the primaries have reinforced this positioning ahead of the November general election. A late scandal, sharp national Democratic surge, or unexpected turnout shift in suburban or rural precincts could narrow the margin, though historical base rates indicate such outcomes remain low-probability events.
Експериментальне резюме, згенероване ШІ з посиланням на дані Polymarket. Це не торгова порада і не впливає на вирішення цього ринку. · Оновлено
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Обережно з зовнішніми посиланнями.
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